FPLDifferential Analysis

Is Daniel Ballard a good differential for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 39?

Gameweek 39 · Sunderland · DEF · £4.6m

Ballard
DEFSunderland

Ballard

Sunderland

116

Pts

-0.5

Form

£4.6m

Price

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Ownership

2.4%

Form (last 6 GWs)

-0.5

Expected pts, GW39

0

Transfers in this GW

0

FPL ownership

2.4% of managers own Ballard

0%100%

Scale: Strong differential ≤5% ownership · Differential ≤10% · Mild ≤20% · above that is template territory.

Fixture run

STRONG DIFFERENTIAL

At 2.4% ownership, Ballard has maximum differential potential. A single big return would be a rank-defining moment. The risk is that low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed - the form and fixture data this week are the deciding factor on whether the gamble is justified.

  • Ownership: 2.4% - true differential territory
  • Expected points: 0 xPts for GW39 - low return projection weakens the differential case
  • Fixture run: mixed picture over the rest of the season

Differential captaincy

Differential captaincy note: captaining a 2.4% owned player amplifies the rank impact of any return. At this ownership level, a 12-point haul as captain would see you gain significantly on approximately 98% of managers. The risk is proportional - a blank from a differential captain costs no rank points directly, but represents a missed opportunity relative to managers who captained a higher-return option.

Weighing Ballard as a differential in GW39

The case for picking him

  • Ownership: at 2.4%, a single good return creates a meaningful rank advantage over the 98% of managers who do not own him.

The risks of the differential play

  • Form: -0.5 pts/game over the last 6 gameweeks - low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed.
  • Expected points: only 0 xPts projected for GW39. A differential needs some return floor to be viable - the model does not back one this week.
  • Suspended until 25 May - a differential pick who does not play delivers zero rank benefit.

Ballard Differential Analysis Gameweek 39

Click a question below for the full breakdown.

CF
At 2.4% ownership, Ballard has maximum differential potential. A single big return would be a rank-defining moment. The risk is that low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed - the form and fixture data this week are the deciding factor on whether the gamble is justified. Click a question below for the full differential breakdown.

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