FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

The expected points model has Erling Haaland at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Jean-Philippe Mateta, a gap of 1.9 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Erling Haaland has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Jean-Philippe Mateta is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, João Pedro leads on total points and the gap stands at 35. On attacking output, João Pedro edges the combined goals and assists count with 24 direct contributions. Dominic Calvert-Lewin has 14 goals and 2 assists this season; João Pedro has 15 goals and 9 assists. Ownership sits at 20.8% for Dominic Calvert-Lewin and 54.7% for João Pedro, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.3 expected points for João Pedro.

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Priced at £8.5m and £7.0m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Antoine Semenyo generates more points per million this season. Antoine Semenyo at 23.8 against Dominik Szoboszlai at 22.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Antoine Semenyo the edge at 2.9 projected points. With ownership at 22% and 47.7% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Bruno Fernandes at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.8 for Cunha, a gap of 1.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bruno Fernandes has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Cunha is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Dominik Szoboszlai leads on total points and the gap stands at 17. On attacking output, Cunha edges the combined goals and assists count with 14 direct contributions. Cunha has 10 goals and 4 assists this season; Dominik Szoboszlai has 6 goals and 7 assists. Ownership sits at 14.6% for Cunha and 47.7% for Dominik Szoboszlai, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Cunha.

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Priced at £8.0m and £6.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Gabriel generates more points per million this season. Gabriel at 26.1 against Nico O'Reilly at 24.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Gabriel the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 25.8% and 22.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Bryan Mbeumo at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.6 for Morgan Rogers, a gap of 0.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bryan Mbeumo has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Morgan Rogers is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Marc Guéhi leads on total points and the gap stands at 19. On attacking output, Nico O'Reilly edges the combined goals and assists count with 9 direct contributions. Marc Guéhi has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Nico O'Reilly has 5 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 24% for Marc Guéhi and 22.9% for Nico O'Reilly, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Nico O'Reilly.

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Priced at £7.5m and £8.5m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Declan Rice generates more points per million this season. Declan Rice at 24.5 against Antoine Semenyo at 23.8. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Antoine Semenyo the edge at 2.9 projected points. With ownership at 22.3% and 22% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Morgan Rogers at 2.6 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Enzo Le Fée, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Enzo Le Fée has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Morgan Rogers is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Luke Shaw leads on total points and the gap stands at 13. On attacking output, Luke Shaw edges the combined goals and assists count with 2 direct contributions. Ezri Konsa has 0 goals and 1 assists this season; Luke Shaw has 1 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 17.5% for Ezri Konsa and 24.5% for Luke Shaw, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 1.7 expected points for Ezri Konsa.

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Priced at £6.0m and £4.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Marc Guéhi generates more points per million this season. Marc Guéhi at 29.8 against Ezri Konsa at 22.2. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Marc Guéhi the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 24% and 17.5% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Riccardo Calafiori at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Luke Shaw, a gap of 0.8 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Riccardo Calafiori has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Luke Shaw is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Marc Guéhi leads on total points and the gap stands at 70. On attacking output, Marc Guéhi edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Riccardo Calafiori has 1 goals and 2 assists this season; Marc Guéhi has 3 goals and 5 assists. Ownership sits at 15.1% for Riccardo Calafiori and 24% for Marc Guéhi, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Marc Guéhi.

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Priced at £8.0m and £7.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Declan Rice generates more points per million this season. Bryan Mbeumo at 18.5 against Declan Rice at 24.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bryan Mbeumo the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 16.5% and 22.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Gabriel at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.8 for Maxence Lacroix, a gap of 1.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Gabriel has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Maxence Lacroix is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Neco Williams leads on total points and the gap stands at 11. On attacking output, Neco Williams edges the combined goals and assists count with 5 direct contributions. Neco Williams has 2 goals and 3 assists this season; Pedro Porro has 1 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 13.2% for Neco Williams and 23.9% for Pedro Porro, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Pedro Porro.

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Priced at £5.5m and £5.0m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Neco Williams generates more points per million this season. Riccardo Calafiori at 19.8 against Neco Williams at 25.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Riccardo Calafiori the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 15.1% and 13.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Virgil at 3.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.8 for Maxence Lacroix, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Maxence Lacroix has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Virgil is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Maxence Lacroix leads on total points and the gap stands at 45. On attacking output, Riccardo Calafiori edges the combined goals and assists count with 3 direct contributions. Riccardo Calafiori has 1 goals and 2 assists this season; Maxence Lacroix has 1 goals and 2 assists. Ownership sits at 15.1% for Riccardo Calafiori and 12% for Maxence Lacroix, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Maxence Lacroix.

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Priced at £6.0m and £5.0m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Maxence Lacroix generates more points per million this season. Maxence Lacroix at 25.7 against Neco Williams at 25.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Maxence Lacroix the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 12% and 13.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Igor Thiago at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Igor Jesus, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Igor Jesus has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Igor Thiago is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Viktor Gyökeres leads on total points and the gap stands at 14. On attacking output, Viktor Gyökeres edges the combined goals and assists count with 15 direct contributions. Viktor Gyökeres has 14 goals and 1 assists this season; Jean-Philippe Mateta has 12 goals and 0 assists. Ownership sits at 13.1% for Viktor Gyökeres and 7.1% for Jean-Philippe Mateta, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.3 expected points for Viktor Gyökeres.

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Priced at £6.5m and £8.0m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Ollie Watkins generates more points per million this season. Jean-Philippe Mateta at 17.5 against Ollie Watkins at 20.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Ollie Watkins the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 7.1% and 12.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Ollie Watkins at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 1.8 for Beto, a gap of 0.7 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Beto has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ollie Watkins is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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