FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

The expected points model has Bruno Fernandes at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Dominik Szoboszlai, a gap of 1.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bruno Fernandes has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Morgan Rogers leads on total points and the gap stands at 9. On attacking output, Morgan Rogers edges the combined goals and assists count with 18 direct contributions. Morgan Rogers has 10 goals and 8 assists this season; Dominik Szoboszlai has 6 goals and 7 assists. Ownership sits at 30.9% for Morgan Rogers and 47.8% for Dominik Szoboszlai, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.6 expected points for Morgan Rogers.

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Priced at £12.0m and £8.0m, there is a £4.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Bruno Fernandes generates more points per million this season. Bruno Fernandes at 19.6 against Cunha at 17.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bruno Fernandes the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 48.6% and 14.6% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Antoine Semenyo at 2.9 for Gameweek 1, against 2.6 for Morgan Rogers, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Morgan Rogers has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Antoine Semenyo is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Gabriel leads on total points and the gap stands at 96. On attacking output, Gabriel edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Gabriel has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Luke Shaw has 1 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 25.8% for Gabriel and 24.5% for Luke Shaw, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Gabriel.

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Priced at £8.0m and £6.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Gabriel generates more points per million this season. Gabriel at 26.1 against Nico O'Reilly at 24.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Gabriel the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 25.8% and 22.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Pedro Porro at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Luke Shaw, a gap of 0.8 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Pedro Porro has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Luke Shaw is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Morgan Rogers leads on total points and the gap stands at 41. On attacking output, Morgan Rogers edges the combined goals and assists count with 18 direct contributions. Iliman Ndiaye has 6 goals and 3 assists this season; Morgan Rogers has 10 goals and 8 assists. Ownership sits at 17.1% for Iliman Ndiaye and 30.9% for Morgan Rogers, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.6 expected points for Morgan Rogers.

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Priced at £6.0m and £5.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Marc Guéhi generates more points per million this season. Marc Guéhi at 29.8 against Pedro Porro at 21.3. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Marc Guéhi the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 24% and 23.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Gabriel at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 3.1 for Virgil, a gap of 0.9 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Gabriel has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Virgil is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Marc Guéhi leads on total points and the gap stands at 79. On attacking output, Marc Guéhi edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Marc Guéhi has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Ezri Konsa has 0 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 24% for Marc Guéhi and 17.5% for Ezri Konsa, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Marc Guéhi.

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Priced at £4.5m and £6.5m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Virgil generates more points per million this season. Luke Shaw at 25.1 against Virgil at 26.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Virgil the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 24.5% and 16.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Declan Rice at 2.6 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Iliman Ndiaye, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Iliman Ndiaye has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Declan Rice is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Virgil leads on total points and the gap stands at 15. On attacking output, Nico O'Reilly edges the combined goals and assists count with 9 direct contributions. Nico O'Reilly has 5 goals and 4 assists this season; Virgil has 6 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 22.9% for Nico O'Reilly and 16.2% for Virgil, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Nico O'Reilly.

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Priced at £8.0m and £7.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Declan Rice generates more points per million this season. Bryan Mbeumo at 18.5 against Declan Rice at 24.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bryan Mbeumo the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 16.4% and 22.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Igor Thiago at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Brian Brobbey, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Brian Brobbey has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Igor Thiago is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Antoine Semenyo leads on total points and the gap stands at 88. On attacking output, Antoine Semenyo edges the combined goals and assists count with 23 direct contributions. Cole Palmer has 10 goals and 2 assists this season; Antoine Semenyo has 17 goals and 6 assists. Ownership sits at 12.7% for Cole Palmer and 21.9% for Antoine Semenyo, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.2 expected points for Cole Palmer.

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Priced at £6.0m and £7.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Viktor Gyökeres generates more points per million this season. Brian Brobbey at 15.3 against Viktor Gyökeres at 17.1. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Viktor Gyökeres the edge at 2.3 projected points. With ownership at 21% and 13.1% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Neco Williams at 2.2 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Ezri Konsa, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Ezri Konsa has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Neco Williams is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Iliman Ndiaye leads on total points and the gap stands at 14. On attacking output, Cole Palmer edges the combined goals and assists count with 12 direct contributions. Iliman Ndiaye has 6 goals and 3 assists this season; Cole Palmer has 10 goals and 2 assists. Ownership sits at 17.1% for Iliman Ndiaye and 12.7% for Cole Palmer, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.2 expected points for Cole Palmer.

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Priced at £8.0m and £8.0m, there is a £0.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Igor Thiago generates more points per million this season. Igor Thiago at 22.6 against Ollie Watkins at 20.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Igor Thiago the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 15.8% and 12.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Brian Brobbey at 2.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Igor Jesus, a gap of 0.0 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Brian Brobbey has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Igor Jesus is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Dominic Calvert-Lewin leads on total points and the gap stands at 28. On attacking output, Dominic Calvert-Lewin edges the combined goals and assists count with 16 direct contributions. Dominic Calvert-Lewin has 14 goals and 2 assists this season; Igor Jesus has 6 goals and 6 assists. Ownership sits at 20.6% for Dominic Calvert-Lewin and 4.9% for Igor Jesus, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.0 expected points for Dominic Calvert-Lewin.

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Priced at £5.5m and £6.0m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Beto generates more points per million this season. Beto at 18.9 against Brian Brobbey at 15.3. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Brian Brobbey the edge at 2.0 projected points. With ownership at 3.3% and 21% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Ollie Watkins at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Jean-Philippe Mateta, a gap of 0.4 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Jean-Philippe Mateta has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ollie Watkins is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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