FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

The expected points model has Erling Haaland at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Brian Brobbey, a gap of 2.0 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Brian Brobbey has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Erling Haaland is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Erling Haaland leads on total points and the gap stands at 72. On attacking output, Erling Haaland edges the combined goals and assists count with 35 direct contributions. Erling Haaland has 27 goals and 8 assists this season; Ollie Watkins has 16 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 75% for Erling Haaland and 12.3% for Ollie Watkins, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Erling Haaland.

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Priced at £15.5m and £6.5m, there is a £9.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Jean-Philippe Mateta generates more points per million this season. Erling Haaland at 15.4 against Jean-Philippe Mateta at 17.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Erling Haaland the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 75% and 7.1% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Bruno Fernandes at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Iliman Ndiaye, a gap of 1.9 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bruno Fernandes has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Iliman Ndiaye is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Declan Rice leads on total points and the gap stands at 15. On attacking output, Morgan Rogers edges the combined goals and assists count with 18 direct contributions. Declan Rice has 4 goals and 9 assists this season; Morgan Rogers has 10 goals and 8 assists. Ownership sits at 22.3% for Declan Rice and 30.9% for Morgan Rogers, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.6 expected points for Declan Rice.

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Priced at £8.0m and £4.5m, there is a £3.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Gabriel generates more points per million this season. Gabriel at 26.1 against Luke Shaw at 25.1. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Gabriel the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 25.8% and 24.5% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Nico O'Reilly at 3.1 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Luke Shaw, a gap of 1.4 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Nico O'Reilly has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Luke Shaw is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Nico O'Reilly leads on total points and the gap stands at 43. On attacking output, Nico O'Reilly edges the combined goals and assists count with 9 direct contributions. Nico O'Reilly has 5 goals and 4 assists this season; Pedro Porro has 1 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 22.9% for Nico O'Reilly and 23.9% for Pedro Porro, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Nico O'Reilly.

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Priced at £8.0m and £7.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Morgan Rogers generates more points per million this season. Cunha at 17.9 against Morgan Rogers at 22.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Cunha the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 14.6% and 30.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Ezri Konsa at 1.7 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Luke Shaw, a gap of 0.0 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Ezri Konsa has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Luke Shaw is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Pedro Porro leads on total points and the gap stands at 17. On attacking output, Pedro Porro edges the combined goals and assists count with 4 direct contributions. Ezri Konsa has 0 goals and 1 assists this season; Pedro Porro has 1 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 17.5% for Ezri Konsa and 23.9% for Pedro Porro, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Pedro Porro.

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Priced at £4.5m and £6.5m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Virgil generates more points per million this season. Luke Shaw at 25.1 against Virgil at 26.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Virgil the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 24.5% and 16.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Virgil at 3.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Pedro Porro, a gap of 0.6 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Pedro Porro has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Virgil is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Maxence Lacroix leads on total points and the gap stands at 37. On attacking output, Pedro Porro edges the combined goals and assists count with 4 direct contributions. Maxence Lacroix has 1 goals and 2 assists this season; Pedro Porro has 1 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 12% for Maxence Lacroix and 23.9% for Pedro Porro, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Maxence Lacroix.

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Priced at £9.5m and £7.5m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Declan Rice generates more points per million this season. Cole Palmer at 12 against Declan Rice at 24.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Cole Palmer the edge at 3.2 projected points. With ownership at 12.7% and 22.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Nico O'Reilly at 3.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.8 for Maxence Lacroix, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Maxence Lacroix has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Nico O'Reilly is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Virgil leads on total points and the gap stands at 75. On attacking output, Virgil edges the combined goals and assists count with 7 direct contributions. Ezri Konsa has 0 goals and 1 assists this season; Virgil has 6 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 17.5% for Ezri Konsa and 16.2% for Virgil, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Virgil.

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Priced at £5.5m and £4.5m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Ezri Konsa generates more points per million this season. Riccardo Calafiori at 19.8 against Ezri Konsa at 22.2. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Riccardo Calafiori the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 15.1% and 17.5% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Maxence Lacroix at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Ezri Konsa, a gap of 1.1 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Ezri Konsa has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Maxence Lacroix is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Igor Thiago leads on total points and the gap stands at 53. On attacking output, Igor Thiago edges the combined goals and assists count with 23 direct contributions. Viktor Gyökeres has 14 goals and 1 assists this season; Igor Thiago has 22 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 13.1% for Viktor Gyökeres and 15.8% for Igor Thiago, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Igor Thiago.

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Priced at £6.0m and £6.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Virgil generates more points per million this season. Maxence Lacroix at 25.7 against Virgil at 26.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Virgil the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 12% and 16.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Cunha at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Enzo Le Fée, a gap of 0.7 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Cunha has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Enzo Le Fée is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Maxence Lacroix leads on total points and the gap stands at 26. On attacking output, Neco Williams edges the combined goals and assists count with 5 direct contributions. Maxence Lacroix has 1 goals and 2 assists this season; Neco Williams has 2 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 12% for Maxence Lacroix and 13.3% for Neco Williams, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Maxence Lacroix.

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Priced at £6.0m and £8.0m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Igor Thiago generates more points per million this season. Igor Jesus at 19 against Igor Thiago at 22.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Igor Thiago the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 4.9% and 15.8% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Igor Jesus at 2.0 for Gameweek 1, against 1.8 for Beto, a gap of 0.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Beto has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Igor Jesus is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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