FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

The expected points model has Bruno Fernandes at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Dominik Szoboszlai, a gap of 1.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bruno Fernandes has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Erling Haaland leads on total points and the gap stands at 97. On attacking output, Erling Haaland edges the combined goals and assists count with 35 direct contributions. Dominic Calvert-Lewin has 14 goals and 2 assists this season; Erling Haaland has 27 goals and 8 assists. Ownership sits at 20.8% for Dominic Calvert-Lewin and 75% for Erling Haaland, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Erling Haaland.

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Priced at £15.5m and £8.0m, there is a £7.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Igor Thiago generates more points per million this season. Erling Haaland at 15.4 against Igor Thiago at 22.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Erling Haaland the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 75% and 15.8% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Erling Haaland at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Jean-Philippe Mateta, a gap of 1.9 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Erling Haaland has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Jean-Philippe Mateta is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Erling Haaland leads on total points and the gap stands at 135. On attacking output, Erling Haaland edges the combined goals and assists count with 35 direct contributions. Beto has 9 goals and 1 assists this season; Erling Haaland has 27 goals and 8 assists. Ownership sits at 3.3% for Beto and 75% for Erling Haaland, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Erling Haaland.

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Priced at £6.0m and £7.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Dominic Calvert-Lewin generates more points per million this season. Dominic Calvert-Lewin at 23.7 against João Pedro at 23.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives João Pedro the edge at 2.3 projected points. With ownership at 20.8% and 54.7% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Bruno Fernandes at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 3.2 for Cole Palmer, a gap of 0.8 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bruno Fernandes has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Cole Palmer is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, João Pedro leads on total points and the gap stands at 73. On attacking output, João Pedro edges the combined goals and assists count with 24 direct contributions. Beto has 9 goals and 1 assists this season; João Pedro has 15 goals and 9 assists. Ownership sits at 3.3% for Beto and 54.7% for João Pedro, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.3 expected points for João Pedro.

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Priced at £8.0m and £6.0m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Marc Guéhi generates more points per million this season. Gabriel at 26.1 against Marc Guéhi at 29.8. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Gabriel the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 25.8% and 24% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Gabriel at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 3.1 for Nico O'Reilly, a gap of 0.9 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Gabriel has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Nico O'Reilly is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Marc Guéhi leads on total points and the gap stands at 62. On attacking output, Marc Guéhi edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Marc Guéhi has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Pedro Porro has 1 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 24% for Marc Guéhi and 23.9% for Pedro Porro, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Marc Guéhi.

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Priced at £6.5m and £5.5m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Nico O'Reilly generates more points per million this season. Nico O'Reilly at 24.6 against Pedro Porro at 21.3. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Nico O'Reilly the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 22.9% and 23.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Brian Brobbey at 2.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Dominic Calvert-Lewin, a gap of 0.0 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Brian Brobbey has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Dominic Calvert-Lewin is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Pedro Porro leads on total points and the gap stands at 17. On attacking output, Pedro Porro edges the combined goals and assists count with 4 direct contributions. Ezri Konsa has 0 goals and 1 assists this season; Pedro Porro has 1 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 17.5% for Ezri Konsa and 23.9% for Pedro Porro, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Pedro Porro.

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Priced at £6.0m and £7.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Declan Rice generates more points per million this season. Iliman Ndiaye at 21.3 against Declan Rice at 24.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Declan Rice the edge at 2.6 projected points. With ownership at 17.1% and 22.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Antoine Semenyo at 2.9 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Iliman Ndiaye, a gap of 0.8 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Iliman Ndiaye has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Antoine Semenyo is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Antoine Semenyo leads on total points and the gap stands at 54. On attacking output, Antoine Semenyo edges the combined goals and assists count with 23 direct contributions. Bryan Mbeumo has 11 goals and 3 assists this season; Antoine Semenyo has 17 goals and 6 assists. Ownership sits at 16.5% for Bryan Mbeumo and 22% for Antoine Semenyo, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.9 expected points for Antoine Semenyo.

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Priced at £5.0m and £5.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Neco Williams generates more points per million this season. Neco Williams at 25.6 against Pedro Porro at 21.3. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Pedro Porro the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 13.2% and 23.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Cole Palmer at 3.2 for Gameweek 1, against 2.6 for Declan Rice, a gap of 0.6 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Cole Palmer has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Declan Rice is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Ollie Watkins leads on total points and the gap stands at 25. On attacking output, Ollie Watkins edges the combined goals and assists count with 20 direct contributions. Dominic Calvert-Lewin has 14 goals and 2 assists this season; Ollie Watkins has 16 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 20.8% for Dominic Calvert-Lewin and 12.3% for Ollie Watkins, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Ollie Watkins.

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Priced at £6.0m and £8.0m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Enzo Le Fée generates more points per million this season. Enzo Le Fée at 24.5 against Bryan Mbeumo at 18.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bryan Mbeumo the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 12.3% and 16.5% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Virgil at 3.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.8 for Maxence Lacroix, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Maxence Lacroix has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Virgil is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Jean-Philippe Mateta leads on total points and the gap stands at 22. On attacking output, Jean-Philippe Mateta edges the combined goals and assists count with 12 direct contributions. Brian Brobbey has 7 goals and 2 assists this season; Jean-Philippe Mateta has 12 goals and 0 assists. Ownership sits at 21% for Brian Brobbey and 7.1% for Jean-Philippe Mateta, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.1 expected points for Jean-Philippe Mateta.

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Priced at £5.5m and £8.0m, there is a £2.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Ollie Watkins generates more points per million this season. Beto at 18.9 against Ollie Watkins at 20.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Ollie Watkins the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 3.3% and 12.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Jean-Philippe Mateta at 2.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Igor Jesus, a gap of 0.1 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Igor Jesus has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Jean-Philippe Mateta is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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