FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

The expected points model has Bruno Fernandes at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Dominik Szoboszlai, a gap of 1.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bruno Fernandes has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Erling Haaland leads on total points and the gap stands at 72. On attacking output, Erling Haaland edges the combined goals and assists count with 35 direct contributions. Erling Haaland has 27 goals and 8 assists this season; Ollie Watkins has 16 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 75% for Erling Haaland and 12.3% for Ollie Watkins, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Erling Haaland.

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Priced at £15.5m and £6.5m, there is a £9.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Jean-Philippe Mateta generates more points per million this season. Erling Haaland at 15.4 against Jean-Philippe Mateta at 17.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Erling Haaland the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 75% and 7.1% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has João Pedro at 2.3 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Brian Brobbey, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Brian Brobbey has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while João Pedro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Bruno Fernandes leads on total points and the gap stands at 92. On attacking output, Bruno Fernandes edges the combined goals and assists count with 33 direct contributions. Bruno Fernandes has 9 goals and 24 assists this season; Cunha has 10 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 48.6% for Bruno Fernandes and 14.6% for Cunha, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Bruno Fernandes.

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Priced at £8.0m and £7.0m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Dominik Szoboszlai generates more points per million this season. Cunha at 17.9 against Dominik Szoboszlai at 22.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Cunha the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 14.6% and 47.7% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Cole Palmer at 3.2 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Dominik Szoboszlai, a gap of 0.7 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Cole Palmer has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Morgan Rogers leads on total points and the gap stands at 21. On attacking output, Morgan Rogers edges the combined goals and assists count with 18 direct contributions. Bryan Mbeumo has 11 goals and 3 assists this season; Morgan Rogers has 10 goals and 8 assists. Ownership sits at 16.5% for Bryan Mbeumo and 30.8% for Morgan Rogers, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Bryan Mbeumo.

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Priced at £4.5m and £6.5m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Virgil generates more points per million this season. Luke Shaw at 25.1 against Virgil at 26.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Virgil the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 24.5% and 16.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Nico O'Reilly at 3.1 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Ezri Konsa, a gap of 1.4 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Ezri Konsa has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Nico O'Reilly is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Marc Guéhi leads on total points and the gap stands at 4. On attacking output, Marc Guéhi edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Marc Guéhi has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Virgil has 6 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 24% for Marc Guéhi and 16.2% for Virgil, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Virgil.

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Priced at £5.5m and £6.0m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Marc Guéhi generates more points per million this season. Riccardo Calafiori at 19.8 against Marc Guéhi at 29.8. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Marc Guéhi the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 15.1% and 24% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Gabriel at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.2 for Neco Williams, a gap of 1.8 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Gabriel has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Neco Williams is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Pedro Porro leads on total points and the gap stands at 8. On attacking output, Pedro Porro edges the combined goals and assists count with 4 direct contributions. Riccardo Calafiori has 1 goals and 2 assists this season; Pedro Porro has 1 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 15.1% for Riccardo Calafiori and 23.9% for Pedro Porro, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Riccardo Calafiori.

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Priced at £8.0m and £6.0m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Gabriel generates more points per million this season. Gabriel at 26.1 against Maxence Lacroix at 25.7. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Gabriel the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 25.8% and 12% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Maxence Lacroix at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Luke Shaw, a gap of 1.1 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Maxence Lacroix has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Luke Shaw is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Declan Rice leads on total points and the gap stands at 70. On attacking output, Declan Rice edges the combined goals and assists count with 13 direct contributions. Cole Palmer has 10 goals and 2 assists this season; Declan Rice has 4 goals and 9 assists. Ownership sits at 12.7% for Cole Palmer and 22.3% for Declan Rice, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.2 expected points for Cole Palmer.

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Priced at £6.0m and £8.0m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Ollie Watkins generates more points per million this season. Brian Brobbey at 15.3 against Ollie Watkins at 20.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Ollie Watkins the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 21% and 12.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Ollie Watkins at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Dominic Calvert-Lewin, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Dominic Calvert-Lewin has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ollie Watkins is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Igor Thiago leads on total points and the gap stands at 53. On attacking output, Igor Thiago edges the combined goals and assists count with 23 direct contributions. Viktor Gyökeres has 14 goals and 1 assists this season; Igor Thiago has 22 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 13.1% for Viktor Gyökeres and 15.8% for Igor Thiago, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Igor Thiago.

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Priced at £6.0m and £6.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Virgil generates more points per million this season. Maxence Lacroix at 25.7 against Virgil at 26.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Virgil the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 12% and 16.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Ollie Watkins at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.3 for Viktor Gyökeres, a gap of 0.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Viktor Gyökeres has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ollie Watkins is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Viktor Gyökeres leads on total points and the gap stands at 14. On attacking output, Viktor Gyökeres edges the combined goals and assists count with 15 direct contributions. Viktor Gyökeres has 14 goals and 1 assists this season; Jean-Philippe Mateta has 12 goals and 0 assists. Ownership sits at 13.1% for Viktor Gyökeres and 7.1% for Jean-Philippe Mateta, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.3 expected points for Viktor Gyökeres.

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Priced at £7.5m and £6.0m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Igor Jesus generates more points per million this season. Viktor Gyökeres at 17.1 against Igor Jesus at 19. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Viktor Gyökeres the edge at 2.3 projected points. With ownership at 13.1% and 4.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Ollie Watkins at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Igor Jesus, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Igor Jesus has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ollie Watkins is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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