FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

Priced at £15.5m and £8.0m, there is a £7.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Ollie Watkins generates more points per million this season. Erling Haaland at 15.4 against Ollie Watkins at 20.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Erling Haaland the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 75% and 12.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Erling Haaland at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Igor Jesus, a gap of 2.0 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Erling Haaland has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Igor Jesus is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Morgan Rogers leads on total points and the gap stands at 9. On attacking output, Morgan Rogers edges the combined goals and assists count with 18 direct contributions. Morgan Rogers has 10 goals and 8 assists this season; Dominik Szoboszlai has 6 goals and 7 assists. Ownership sits at 30.9% for Morgan Rogers and 47.8% for Dominik Szoboszlai, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.6 expected points for Morgan Rogers.

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Priced at £12.0m and £8.5m, there is a £3.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Antoine Semenyo generates more points per million this season. Bruno Fernandes at 19.6 against Antoine Semenyo at 23.8. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bruno Fernandes the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 48.6% and 21.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Dominik Szoboszlai at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Enzo Le Fée, a gap of 0.4 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Enzo Le Fée has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Declan Rice leads on total points and the gap stands at 15. On attacking output, Morgan Rogers edges the combined goals and assists count with 18 direct contributions. Declan Rice has 4 goals and 9 assists this season; Morgan Rogers has 10 goals and 8 assists. Ownership sits at 22.3% for Declan Rice and 30.9% for Morgan Rogers, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.6 expected points for Declan Rice.

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Priced at £8.0m and £4.5m, there is a £3.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Gabriel generates more points per million this season. Gabriel at 26.1 against Luke Shaw at 25.1. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Gabriel the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 25.8% and 24.5% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Marc Guéhi at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Luke Shaw, a gap of 1.1 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Marc Guéhi has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Luke Shaw is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Marc Guéhi leads on total points and the gap stands at 62. On attacking output, Marc Guéhi edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Marc Guéhi has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Pedro Porro has 1 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 24% for Marc Guéhi and 23.9% for Pedro Porro, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Marc Guéhi.

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Priced at £8.0m and £6.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Virgil generates more points per million this season. Gabriel at 26.1 against Virgil at 26.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Gabriel the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 25.8% and 16.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Marc Guéhi at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Ezri Konsa, a gap of 1.1 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Marc Guéhi has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ezri Konsa is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Virgil leads on total points and the gap stands at 62. On attacking output, Virgil edges the combined goals and assists count with 7 direct contributions. Luke Shaw has 1 goals and 1 assists this season; Virgil has 6 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 24.5% for Luke Shaw and 16.2% for Virgil, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Virgil.

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Priced at £5.5m and £6.0m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Marc Guéhi generates more points per million this season. Riccardo Calafiori at 19.8 against Marc Guéhi at 29.8. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Marc Guéhi the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 15.1% and 24% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Pedro Porro at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.2 for Neco Williams, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Neco Williams has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Pedro Porro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Virgil leads on total points and the gap stands at 75. On attacking output, Virgil edges the combined goals and assists count with 7 direct contributions. Ezri Konsa has 0 goals and 1 assists this season; Virgil has 6 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 17.5% for Ezri Konsa and 16.2% for Virgil, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Virgil.

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Priced at £6.0m and £8.0m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Dominic Calvert-Lewin generates more points per million this season. Dominic Calvert-Lewin at 23.7 against Ollie Watkins at 20.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Ollie Watkins the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 20.6% and 12.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Riccardo Calafiori at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Ezri Konsa, a gap of 0.8 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Riccardo Calafiori has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ezri Konsa is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Jean-Philippe Mateta leads on total points and the gap stands at 22. On attacking output, Jean-Philippe Mateta edges the combined goals and assists count with 12 direct contributions. Brian Brobbey has 7 goals and 2 assists this season; Jean-Philippe Mateta has 12 goals and 0 assists. Ownership sits at 21% for Brian Brobbey and 7.1% for Jean-Philippe Mateta, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.1 expected points for Jean-Philippe Mateta.

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Priced at £6.0m and £6.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Dominic Calvert-Lewin generates more points per million this season. Dominic Calvert-Lewin at 23.7 against Jean-Philippe Mateta at 17.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Jean-Philippe Mateta the edge at 2.1 projected points. With ownership at 20.6% and 7.1% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Dominic Calvert-Lewin at 2.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Igor Jesus, a gap of 0.0 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Dominic Calvert-Lewin has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Igor Jesus is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Dominic Calvert-Lewin leads on total points and the gap stands at 38. On attacking output, Dominic Calvert-Lewin edges the combined goals and assists count with 16 direct contributions. Beto has 9 goals and 1 assists this season; Dominic Calvert-Lewin has 14 goals and 2 assists. Ownership sits at 3.3% for Beto and 20.6% for Dominic Calvert-Lewin, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.0 expected points for Dominic Calvert-Lewin.

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Priced at £5.5m and £8.0m, there is a £2.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Igor Thiago generates more points per million this season. Beto at 18.9 against Igor Thiago at 22.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Igor Thiago the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 3.3% and 15.8% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Ollie Watkins at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Igor Jesus, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Igor Jesus has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ollie Watkins is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Ollie Watkins leads on total points and the gap stands at 63. On attacking output, Ollie Watkins edges the combined goals and assists count with 20 direct contributions. Beto has 9 goals and 1 assists this season; Ollie Watkins has 16 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 3.3% for Beto and 12.3% for Ollie Watkins, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Ollie Watkins.

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Priced at £5.5m and £6.0m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Igor Jesus generates more points per million this season. Beto at 18.9 against Igor Jesus at 19. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Igor Jesus the edge at 2.0 projected points. With ownership at 3.3% and 4.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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