FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

Priced at £12.0m and £7.5m, there is a £4.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Morgan Rogers generates more points per million this season. Bruno Fernandes at 19.6 against Morgan Rogers at 22.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bruno Fernandes the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 48.7% and 33.6% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Cole Palmer at 3.2 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Dominik Szoboszlai, a gap of 0.7 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Cole Palmer has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, João Pedro leads on total points and the gap stands at 63. On attacking output, João Pedro edges the combined goals and assists count with 24 direct contributions. João Pedro has 15 goals and 9 assists this season; Jean-Philippe Mateta has 12 goals and 0 assists. Ownership sits at 48.8% for João Pedro and 7.6% for Jean-Philippe Mateta, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.3 expected points for João Pedro.

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Priced at £7.5m and £8.5m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Antoine Semenyo generates more points per million this season. Morgan Rogers at 22.5 against Antoine Semenyo at 23.8. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Antoine Semenyo the edge at 2.9 projected points. With ownership at 33.6% and 20.5% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has João Pedro at 2.3 for Gameweek 1, against 1.8 for Beto, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Beto has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while João Pedro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Gabriel leads on total points and the gap stands at 49. On attacking output, Nico O'Reilly edges the combined goals and assists count with 9 direct contributions. Gabriel has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Nico O'Reilly has 5 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 25.4% for Gabriel and 24.1% for Nico O'Reilly, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Gabriel.

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Priced at £6.0m and £4.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Marc Guéhi generates more points per million this season. Marc Guéhi at 29.8 against Luke Shaw at 25.1. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Marc Guéhi the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 24.8% and 22.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Bryan Mbeumo at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.6 for Morgan Rogers, a gap of 0.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bryan Mbeumo has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Morgan Rogers is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Morgan Rogers leads on total points and the gap stands at 55. On attacking output, Morgan Rogers edges the combined goals and assists count with 18 direct contributions. Cole Palmer has 10 goals and 2 assists this season; Morgan Rogers has 10 goals and 8 assists. Ownership sits at 13.3% for Cole Palmer and 33.6% for Morgan Rogers, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.2 expected points for Cole Palmer.

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Priced at £4.5m and £4.5m, there is a £0.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Luke Shaw generates more points per million this season. Ezri Konsa at 22.2 against Luke Shaw at 25.1. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Ezri Konsa the edge at 1.7 projected points. With ownership at 18.9% and 22.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Brian Brobbey at 2.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Dominic Calvert-Lewin, a gap of 0.0 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Brian Brobbey has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Dominic Calvert-Lewin is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Virgil leads on total points and the gap stands at 58. On attacking output, Virgil edges the combined goals and assists count with 7 direct contributions. Pedro Porro has 1 goals and 3 assists this season; Virgil has 6 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 24% for Pedro Porro and 15.6% for Virgil, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Virgil.

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Priced at £5.5m and £8.0m, there is a £2.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Gabriel generates more points per million this season. Riccardo Calafiori at 19.8 against Gabriel at 26.1. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Gabriel the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 13.5% and 25.4% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Marc Guéhi at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Riccardo Calafiori, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Riccardo Calafiori has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Marc Guéhi is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Nico O'Reilly leads on total points and the gap stands at 51. On attacking output, Nico O'Reilly edges the combined goals and assists count with 9 direct contributions. Riccardo Calafiori has 1 goals and 2 assists this season; Nico O'Reilly has 5 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 13.5% for Riccardo Calafiori and 24.1% for Nico O'Reilly, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Nico O'Reilly.

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Priced at £6.0m and £5.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Marc Guéhi generates more points per million this season. Marc Guéhi at 29.8 against Daniel Muñoz at 24.7. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Marc Guéhi the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 24.8% and 12.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Neco Williams at 2.2 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Luke Shaw, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Neco Williams has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Luke Shaw is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Bryan Mbeumo leads on total points and the gap stands at 20. On attacking output, Bryan Mbeumo edges the combined goals and assists count with 14 direct contributions. Bryan Mbeumo has 11 goals and 3 assists this season; Iliman Ndiaye has 6 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 13.4% for Bryan Mbeumo and 20.7% for Iliman Ndiaye, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Bryan Mbeumo.

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Priced at £7.5m and £6.0m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Iliman Ndiaye generates more points per million this season. Junior Kroupi.Jr at 15.1 against Iliman Ndiaye at 21.3. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Junior Kroupi.Jr the edge at 2.6 projected points. With ownership at 13.2% and 20.7% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Cole Palmer at 3.2 for Gameweek 1, against 2.9 for Antoine Semenyo, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Cole Palmer has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Antoine Semenyo is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Igor Thiago leads on total points and the gap stands at 53. On attacking output, Igor Thiago edges the combined goals and assists count with 23 direct contributions. Viktor Gyökeres has 14 goals and 1 assists this season; Igor Thiago has 22 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 13.8% for Viktor Gyökeres and 16.4% for Igor Thiago, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Igor Thiago.

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Priced at £5.5m and £6.5m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Virgil generates more points per million this season. Daniel Muñoz at 24.7 against Virgil at 26.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Virgil the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 12.3% and 15.6% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Bryan Mbeumo at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.6 for Junior Kroupi.Jr, a gap of 0.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Junior Kroupi.Jr has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Bryan Mbeumo is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Dominic Calvert-Lewin leads on total points and the gap stands at 28. On attacking output, Dominic Calvert-Lewin edges the combined goals and assists count with 16 direct contributions. Dominic Calvert-Lewin has 14 goals and 2 assists this season; Jean-Philippe Mateta has 12 goals and 0 assists. Ownership sits at 17.8% for Dominic Calvert-Lewin and 7.6% for Jean-Philippe Mateta, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.1 expected points for Jean-Philippe Mateta.

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Priced at £5.5m and £6.5m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Beto generates more points per million this season. Beto at 18.9 against Jean-Philippe Mateta at 17.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Jean-Philippe Mateta the edge at 2.1 projected points. With ownership at 3.4% and 7.6% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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