FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

Across the season, Erling Haaland leads on total points and the gap stands at 62. On attacking output, Erling Haaland edges the combined goals and assists count with 35 direct contributions. Erling Haaland has 27 goals and 8 assists this season; João Pedro has 15 goals and 9 assists. Ownership sits at 75% for Erling Haaland and 54.7% for João Pedro, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Erling Haaland.

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Priced at £6.0m and £15.5m, there is a £9.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Erling Haaland generates more points per million this season. Brian Brobbey at 15.3 against Erling Haaland at 15.4. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Erling Haaland the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 21% and 75% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Erling Haaland at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Ollie Watkins, a gap of 1.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Erling Haaland has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ollie Watkins is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Bruno Fernandes leads on total points and the gap stands at 88. On attacking output, Bruno Fernandes edges the combined goals and assists count with 33 direct contributions. Bruno Fernandes has 9 goals and 24 assists this season; Enzo Le Fée has 5 goals and 6 assists. Ownership sits at 48.6% for Bruno Fernandes and 12.2% for Enzo Le Fée, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Bruno Fernandes.

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Priced at £6.0m and £7.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, João Pedro generates more points per million this season. Igor Jesus at 19 against João Pedro at 23.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives João Pedro the edge at 2.3 projected points. With ownership at 4.9% and 54.7% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Gabriel at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Luke Shaw, a gap of 2.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Gabriel has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Luke Shaw is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Gabriel leads on total points and the gap stands at 49. On attacking output, Nico O'Reilly edges the combined goals and assists count with 9 direct contributions. Gabriel has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Nico O'Reilly has 5 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 25.8% for Gabriel and 22.9% for Nico O'Reilly, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Gabriel.

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Priced at £6.0m and £7.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Morgan Rogers generates more points per million this season. Iliman Ndiaye at 21.3 against Morgan Rogers at 22.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Morgan Rogers the edge at 2.6 projected points. With ownership at 17.1% and 30.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Nico O'Reilly at 3.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.8 for Marc Guéhi, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Marc Guéhi has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Nico O'Reilly is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Antoine Semenyo leads on total points and the gap stands at 18. On attacking output, Antoine Semenyo edges the combined goals and assists count with 23 direct contributions. Declan Rice has 4 goals and 9 assists this season; Antoine Semenyo has 17 goals and 6 assists. Ownership sits at 22.3% for Declan Rice and 21.9% for Antoine Semenyo, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.9 expected points for Antoine Semenyo.

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Priced at £6.0m and £4.5m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Marc Guéhi generates more points per million this season. Marc Guéhi at 29.8 against Ezri Konsa at 22.2. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Marc Guéhi the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 24% and 17.5% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Riccardo Calafiori at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Luke Shaw, a gap of 0.8 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Riccardo Calafiori has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Luke Shaw is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Virgil leads on total points and the gap stands at 15. On attacking output, Nico O'Reilly edges the combined goals and assists count with 9 direct contributions. Nico O'Reilly has 5 goals and 4 assists this season; Virgil has 6 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 22.9% for Nico O'Reilly and 16.2% for Virgil, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Nico O'Reilly.

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Priced at £8.0m and £8.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Antoine Semenyo generates more points per million this season. Bryan Mbeumo at 18.5 against Antoine Semenyo at 23.8. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Antoine Semenyo the edge at 2.9 projected points. With ownership at 16.4% and 21.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Pedro Porro at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.2 for Neco Williams, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Neco Williams has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Pedro Porro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Antoine Semenyo leads on total points and the gap stands at 59. On attacking output, Antoine Semenyo edges the combined goals and assists count with 23 direct contributions. Cunha has 10 goals and 4 assists this season; Antoine Semenyo has 17 goals and 6 assists. Ownership sits at 14.6% for Cunha and 21.9% for Antoine Semenyo, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.9 expected points for Antoine Semenyo.

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Priced at £9.5m and £7.5m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Declan Rice generates more points per million this season. Cole Palmer at 12 against Declan Rice at 24.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Cole Palmer the edge at 3.2 projected points. With ownership at 12.7% and 22.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Virgil at 3.1 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Ezri Konsa, a gap of 1.4 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Ezri Konsa has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Virgil is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Neco Williams leads on total points and the gap stands at 28. On attacking output, Neco Williams edges the combined goals and assists count with 5 direct contributions. Ezri Konsa has 0 goals and 1 assists this season; Neco Williams has 2 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 17.5% for Ezri Konsa and 13.3% for Neco Williams, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.2 expected points for Neco Williams.

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Priced at £6.0m and £6.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Dominic Calvert-Lewin generates more points per million this season. Dominic Calvert-Lewin at 23.7 against Jean-Philippe Mateta at 17.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Jean-Philippe Mateta the edge at 2.1 projected points. With ownership at 20.6% and 7.1% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Cunha at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Enzo Le Fée, a gap of 0.7 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Cunha has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Enzo Le Fée is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Igor Thiago leads on total points and the gap stands at 67. On attacking output, Igor Thiago edges the combined goals and assists count with 23 direct contributions. Igor Jesus has 6 goals and 6 assists this season; Igor Thiago has 22 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 4.9% for Igor Jesus and 15.8% for Igor Thiago, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Igor Thiago.

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Priced at £7.5m and £6.5m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Jean-Philippe Mateta generates more points per million this season. Viktor Gyökeres at 17.1 against Jean-Philippe Mateta at 17.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Viktor Gyökeres the edge at 2.3 projected points. With ownership at 13.1% and 7.1% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Ollie Watkins at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Igor Jesus, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Igor Jesus has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ollie Watkins is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Igor Jesus leads on total points and the gap stands at 10. On attacking output, Igor Jesus edges the combined goals and assists count with 12 direct contributions. Beto has 9 goals and 1 assists this season; Igor Jesus has 6 goals and 6 assists. Ownership sits at 3.3% for Beto and 4.9% for Igor Jesus, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.0 expected points for Igor Jesus.

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