FPLDifferential Analysis

Is Lewis Dunk a good differential for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 32?

Gameweek 32 · BHA · DEF · £4.5m

Dunk
DEFBHA

Dunk

BHA

82

Pts

6.0

Form

£4.5m

Price

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Ownership

1%

Form (last 6 GWs)

6.0

Expected pts, GW32

0

Transfers in this GW

725

FPL ownership

1% of managers own Dunk

0%
Strong diffDifferentialMild diff
100%

Fixture run

GW32

Burnley

Burnley

Away

GW33

Spurs

Spurs

Away

GW34

No fixture

GW35

Newcastle

Newcastle

Away

STRONG DIFFERENTIAL

At 1% ownership, Dunk has maximum differential potential. A single big return would be a rank-defining moment. The risk is that low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed - the form and fixture data this week are the deciding factor on whether the gamble is justified.

  • Ownership: 1% - true differential territory
  • Expected points: 0 xPts for GW32 - low return projection weakens the differential case
  • Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures in the next 4 gameweeks

Differential captaincy

Differential captaincy note: captaining a 1% owned player amplifies the rank impact of any return. At this ownership level, a 12-point haul as captain would see you gain significantly on approximately 99% of managers. The risk is proportional - a blank from a differential captain costs no rank points directly, but represents a missed opportunity relative to managers who captained a higher-return option.

Weighing Dunk as a differential in GW32

The case for picking him

  • Ownership: at 1%, a single good return creates a meaningful rank advantage over the 99% of managers who do not own him.
  • Form: 6.0 pts/game over the last 6 gameweeks - actively scoring, not just theoretically differential.
  • Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures in the next 4 gameweeks - a sustained differential window, not a one-week gamble.

The risks of the differential play

  • Expected points: only 0 xPts projected for GW32. A differential needs some return floor to be viable - the model does not back one this week.
  • Suspended until 26 Apr - a differential pick who does not play delivers zero rank benefit.

Dunk Differential Analysis Gameweek 32

Click a question below for the full breakdown.

CF
At 1% ownership, Dunk has maximum differential potential. A single big return would be a rank-defining moment. The risk is that low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed - the form and fixture data this week are the deciding factor on whether the gamble is justified. Click a question below for the full differential breakdown.

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