FPLDifferential Analysis

Is Michael Kayode a good differential for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 38?

Gameweek 38 · Brentford · DEF · £4.6m

Kayode
DEFBrentford

Kayode

Brentford

111

Pts

1.8

Form

£4.6m

Price

No credit card required
Instant access

Ownership

1.1%

Form (last 6 GWs)

1.8

Expected pts, GW38

1.3

Transfers in this GW

1,681

FPL ownership

1.1% of managers own Kayode

0%100%

Scale: Strong differential ≤5% ownership · Differential ≤10% · Mild ≤20% · above that is template territory.

Fixture run

GW38

Liverpool

Liverpool

Away

STRONG DIFFERENTIAL

At 1.1% ownership, Kayode has maximum differential potential. A single big return would be a rank-defining moment. The risk is that low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed - the form and fixture data this week are the deciding factor on whether the gamble is justified.

  • Ownership: 1.1% - true differential territory
  • Expected points: 1.3 xPts for GW38 - low return projection weakens the differential case
  • Fixture run: mixed picture over the final gameweek of the season

Differential captaincy

Differential captaincy note: captaining a 1.1% owned player amplifies the rank impact of any return. At this ownership level, a 12-point haul as captain would see you gain significantly on approximately 99% of managers. The risk is proportional - a blank from a differential captain costs no rank points directly, but represents a missed opportunity relative to managers who captained a higher-return option.

Weighing Kayode as a differential in GW38

The case for picking him

  • Ownership: at 1.1%, a single good return creates a meaningful rank advantage over the 99% of managers who do not own him.
  • Availability: no fitness concerns - a differential who misses through injury is the worst outcome.

The risks of the differential play

  • Form: 1.8 pts/game over the last 6 gameweeks - low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed.
  • Expected points: only 1.3 xPts projected for GW38. A differential needs some return floor to be viable - the model does not back one this week.

Kayode Differential Analysis Gameweek 38

Click a question below for the full breakdown.

CF
At 1.1% ownership, Kayode has maximum differential potential. A single big return would be a rank-defining moment. The risk is that low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed - the form and fixture data this week are the deciding factor on whether the gamble is justified. Click a question below for the full differential breakdown.

Ask a question

ChatFPL AI

Not sure if Kayode is the right differential call? ChatFPL AI can suggest the strongest low-ownership options available this week.

Get 20 free messages. No credit card required.

Try ChatFPL AI for free