Ownership
17.2%
Form (last 6 GWs)
0.0
Expected pts, GW2
2.5
Transfers in this GW
42,563
FPL ownership
17.2% of managers own Thiago
0%100%
Scale: Strong differential ≤5% ownership · Differential ≤10% · Mild ≤20% · above that is template territory.
Fixture run
GW2
Leeds
Away
GW3
Sunderland
Home
GW4
Bournemouth
Away
GW5
Chelsea
Home
MILD DIFFERENTIAL
At 17.2% ownership, Thiago is a mild differential at best. The ownership gap is not wide enough to make a return rank-defining, and the current data does not strongly support an imminent big haul.
- Ownership: 17.2% - mild differential
- Expected points: 2.5 xPts for GW2 - low return projection weakens the differential case
- Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks
Weighing Thiago as a differential in GW2
The case for picking him
- Ownership: at 17.2%, a single good return creates a meaningful rank advantage over the 83% of managers who do not own him.
- Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks - a sustained differential window, not a one-week gamble.
- Availability: no fitness concerns - a differential who misses through injury is the worst outcome.
The risks of the differential play
- Form: 0.0 pts/game so far this season - low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed.
- Expected points: only 2.5 xPts projected for GW2. A differential needs some return floor to be viable - the model does not back one this week.
Thiago Differential Analysis Gameweek 2
Click a question below for the full breakdown.
CF
At 17.2% ownership, Thiago is a mild differential at best. The ownership gap is not wide enough to make a return rank-defining, and the current data does not strongly support an imminent big haul. Click a question below for the full differential breakdown.
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