FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

The expected points model has Erling Haaland at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Igor Thiago, a gap of 1.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Erling Haaland has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Igor Thiago is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

|

Across the season, Erling Haaland leads on total points and the gap stands at 125. On attacking output, Erling Haaland edges the combined goals and assists count with 35 direct contributions. Erling Haaland has 27 goals and 8 assists this season; Igor Jesus has 6 goals and 6 assists. Ownership sits at 75% for Erling Haaland and 4.9% for Igor Jesus, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Erling Haaland.

|

Priced at £7.5m and £6.5m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, João Pedro generates more points per million this season. João Pedro at 23.6 against Jean-Philippe Mateta at 17.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives João Pedro the edge at 2.3 projected points. With ownership at 54.7% and 7.1% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

|

The expected points model has Bruno Fernandes at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 3.2 for Cole Palmer, a gap of 0.8 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bruno Fernandes has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Cole Palmer is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

|

Across the season, Morgan Rogers leads on total points and the gap stands at 26. On attacking output, Morgan Rogers edges the combined goals and assists count with 18 direct contributions. Cunha has 10 goals and 4 assists this season; Morgan Rogers has 10 goals and 8 assists. Ownership sits at 14.6% for Cunha and 30.8% for Morgan Rogers, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Cunha.

|

Priced at £4.5m and £4.5m, there is a £0.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Luke Shaw generates more points per million this season. Ezri Konsa at 22.2 against Luke Shaw at 25.1. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Ezri Konsa the edge at 1.7 projected points. With ownership at 17.5% and 24.5% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

|

The expected points model has Riccardo Calafiori at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Luke Shaw, a gap of 0.8 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Riccardo Calafiori has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Luke Shaw is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

|

Across the season, Declan Rice leads on total points and the gap stands at 56. On attacking output, Declan Rice edges the combined goals and assists count with 13 direct contributions. Iliman Ndiaye has 6 goals and 3 assists this season; Declan Rice has 4 goals and 9 assists. Ownership sits at 17.1% for Iliman Ndiaye and 22.3% for Declan Rice, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.6 expected points for Declan Rice.

|

Priced at £8.0m and £5.0m, there is a £3.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Gabriel generates more points per million this season. Gabriel at 26.1 against Neco Williams at 25.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Gabriel the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 25.8% and 13.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

|

The expected points model has Riccardo Calafiori at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Pedro Porro, a gap of 0.0 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Riccardo Calafiori has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Pedro Porro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

|

Across the season, Gabriel leads on total points and the gap stands at 55. On attacking output, Gabriel edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Gabriel has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Maxence Lacroix has 1 goals and 2 assists. Ownership sits at 25.8% for Gabriel and 12% for Maxence Lacroix, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Gabriel.

|

Priced at £9.5m and £7.5m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Declan Rice generates more points per million this season. Cole Palmer at 12 against Declan Rice at 24.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Cole Palmer the edge at 3.2 projected points. With ownership at 12.7% and 22.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

|

The expected points model has Viktor Gyökeres at 2.3 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Dominic Calvert-Lewin, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Dominic Calvert-Lewin has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Viktor Gyökeres is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

|

Across the season, Ollie Watkins leads on total points and the gap stands at 25. On attacking output, Ollie Watkins edges the combined goals and assists count with 20 direct contributions. Dominic Calvert-Lewin has 14 goals and 2 assists this season; Ollie Watkins has 16 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 20.8% for Dominic Calvert-Lewin and 12.3% for Ollie Watkins, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Ollie Watkins.

|

Priced at £5.5m and £4.5m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Ezri Konsa generates more points per million this season. Riccardo Calafiori at 19.8 against Ezri Konsa at 22.2. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Riccardo Calafiori the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 15.1% and 17.5% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

|

The expected points model has Neco Williams at 2.2 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Ezri Konsa, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Ezri Konsa has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Neco Williams is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

|

Across the season, Bryan Mbeumo leads on total points and the gap stands at 1. On attacking output, Bryan Mbeumo edges the combined goals and assists count with 14 direct contributions. Enzo Le Fée has 5 goals and 6 assists this season; Bryan Mbeumo has 11 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 12.3% for Enzo Le Fée and 16.5% for Bryan Mbeumo, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Bryan Mbeumo.

|

Priced at £6.0m and £6.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Virgil generates more points per million this season. Maxence Lacroix at 25.7 against Virgil at 26.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Virgil the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 12% and 16.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

|

The expected points model has Igor Thiago at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Ollie Watkins, a gap of 0.0 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Igor Thiago has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ollie Watkins is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

|

Across the season, Cunha leads on total points and the gap stands at 29. On attacking output, Cunha edges the combined goals and assists count with 14 direct contributions. Cunha has 10 goals and 4 assists this season; Cole Palmer has 10 goals and 2 assists. Ownership sits at 14.6% for Cunha and 12.7% for Cole Palmer, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.2 expected points for Cole Palmer.

|

Priced at £6.0m and £6.0m, there is a £0.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Igor Jesus generates more points per million this season. Brian Brobbey at 15.3 against Igor Jesus at 19. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Brian Brobbey the edge at 2.0 projected points. With ownership at 21% and 4.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

|

The expected points model has Cole Palmer at 3.2 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Enzo Le Fée, a gap of 1.1 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Enzo Le Fée has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Cole Palmer is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

|

Across the season, Beto leads on total points and the gap stands at 12. On attacking output, Beto edges the combined goals and assists count with 10 direct contributions. Beto has 9 goals and 1 assists this season; Brian Brobbey has 7 goals and 2 assists. Ownership sits at 3.3% for Beto and 21% for Brian Brobbey, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.0 expected points for Brian Brobbey.

|

Priced at £6.5m and £8.0m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Igor Thiago generates more points per million this season. Jean-Philippe Mateta at 17.5 against Igor Thiago at 22.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Igor Thiago the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 7.1% and 15.8% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

|

The expected points model has Igor Thiago at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Igor Jesus, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Igor Jesus has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Igor Thiago is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

|