FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

The expected points model has Erling Haaland at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Igor Thiago, a gap of 1.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Erling Haaland has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Igor Thiago is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Erling Haaland leads on total points and the gap stands at 111. On attacking output, Erling Haaland edges the combined goals and assists count with 35 direct contributions. Viktor Gyökeres has 14 goals and 1 assists this season; Erling Haaland has 27 goals and 8 assists. Ownership sits at 13.1% for Viktor Gyökeres and 75% for Erling Haaland, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Erling Haaland.

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Priced at £5.5m and £15.5m, there is a £10.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Beto generates more points per million this season. Beto at 18.9 against Erling Haaland at 15.4. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Erling Haaland the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 3.3% and 75% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Bruno Fernandes at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.6 for Declan Rice, a gap of 1.4 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bruno Fernandes has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Declan Rice is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Declan Rice leads on total points and the gap stands at 24. On attacking output, Declan Rice edges the combined goals and assists count with 13 direct contributions. Declan Rice has 4 goals and 9 assists this season; Dominik Szoboszlai has 6 goals and 7 assists. Ownership sits at 22.3% for Declan Rice and 47.8% for Dominik Szoboszlai, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.6 expected points for Declan Rice.

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Priced at £8.5m and £7.0m, there is a £1.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Antoine Semenyo generates more points per million this season. Antoine Semenyo at 23.8 against Dominik Szoboszlai at 22.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Antoine Semenyo the edge at 2.9 projected points. With ownership at 21.9% and 47.8% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Viktor Gyökeres at 2.3 for Gameweek 1, against 2.3 for João Pedro, a gap of 0.0 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Viktor Gyökeres has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while João Pedro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Morgan Rogers leads on total points and the gap stands at 41. On attacking output, Morgan Rogers edges the combined goals and assists count with 18 direct contributions. Iliman Ndiaye has 6 goals and 3 assists this season; Morgan Rogers has 10 goals and 8 assists. Ownership sits at 17.1% for Iliman Ndiaye and 30.9% for Morgan Rogers, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.6 expected points for Morgan Rogers.

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Priced at £6.0m and £6.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Marc Guéhi generates more points per million this season. Marc Guéhi at 29.8 against Nico O'Reilly at 24.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Nico O'Reilly the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 24% and 22.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Gabriel at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Ezri Konsa, a gap of 2.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Gabriel has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ezri Konsa is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Marc Guéhi leads on total points and the gap stands at 79. On attacking output, Marc Guéhi edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Marc Guéhi has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Ezri Konsa has 0 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 24% for Marc Guéhi and 17.5% for Ezri Konsa, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Marc Guéhi.

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Priced at £4.5m and £5.5m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Ezri Konsa generates more points per million this season. Ezri Konsa at 22.2 against Pedro Porro at 21.3. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Pedro Porro the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 17.5% and 23.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Nico O'Reilly at 3.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Riccardo Calafiori, a gap of 0.6 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Riccardo Calafiori has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Nico O'Reilly is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Marc Guéhi leads on total points and the gap stands at 25. On attacking output, Marc Guéhi edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Marc Guéhi has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Maxence Lacroix has 1 goals and 2 assists. Ownership sits at 24% for Marc Guéhi and 12% for Maxence Lacroix, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Marc Guéhi.

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Priced at £6.0m and £6.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Maxence Lacroix generates more points per million this season. Maxence Lacroix at 25.7 against Nico O'Reilly at 24.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Nico O'Reilly the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 12% and 22.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Ollie Watkins at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Brian Brobbey, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Brian Brobbey has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ollie Watkins is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Riccardo Calafiori leads on total points and the gap stands at 9. On attacking output, Riccardo Calafiori edges the combined goals and assists count with 3 direct contributions. Riccardo Calafiori has 1 goals and 2 assists this season; Ezri Konsa has 0 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 15.1% for Riccardo Calafiori and 17.5% for Ezri Konsa, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Riccardo Calafiori.

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Priced at £4.5m and £5.0m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Neco Williams generates more points per million this season. Ezri Konsa at 22.2 against Neco Williams at 25.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Neco Williams the edge at 2.2 projected points. With ownership at 17.5% and 13.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Maxence Lacroix at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Ezri Konsa, a gap of 1.1 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Ezri Konsa has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Maxence Lacroix is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Virgil leads on total points and the gap stands at 21. On attacking output, Virgil edges the combined goals and assists count with 7 direct contributions. Maxence Lacroix has 1 goals and 2 assists this season; Virgil has 6 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 12% for Maxence Lacroix and 16.2% for Virgil, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Virgil.

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Priced at £8.0m and £8.0m, there is a £0.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Igor Thiago generates more points per million this season. Igor Thiago at 22.6 against Ollie Watkins at 20.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Igor Thiago the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 15.8% and 12.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Ollie Watkins at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Jean-Philippe Mateta, a gap of 0.4 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Jean-Philippe Mateta has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ollie Watkins is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Viktor Gyökeres leads on total points and the gap stands at 24. On attacking output, Viktor Gyökeres edges the combined goals and assists count with 15 direct contributions. Beto has 9 goals and 1 assists this season; Viktor Gyökeres has 14 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 3.3% for Beto and 13.1% for Viktor Gyökeres, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.3 expected points for Viktor Gyökeres.

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Priced at £6.0m and £6.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Igor Jesus generates more points per million this season. Igor Jesus at 19 against Jean-Philippe Mateta at 17.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Jean-Philippe Mateta the edge at 2.1 projected points. With ownership at 4.9% and 7.1% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Igor Jesus at 2.0 for Gameweek 1, against 1.8 for Beto, a gap of 0.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Beto has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Igor Jesus is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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