FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

The expected points model has Erling Haaland at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.3 for Viktor Gyökeres, a gap of 1.7 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Viktor Gyökeres has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Erling Haaland is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Bruno Fernandes leads on total points and the gap stands at 66. On attacking output, Bruno Fernandes edges the combined goals and assists count with 33 direct contributions. Bruno Fernandes has 9 goals and 24 assists this season; Morgan Rogers has 10 goals and 8 assists. Ownership sits at 48.6% for Bruno Fernandes and 30.9% for Morgan Rogers, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Bruno Fernandes.

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Priced at £12.0m and £6.0m, there is a £6.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Iliman Ndiaye generates more points per million this season. Bruno Fernandes at 19.6 against Iliman Ndiaye at 21.3. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bruno Fernandes the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 48.6% and 17.1% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Bruno Fernandes at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 3.2 for Cole Palmer, a gap of 0.8 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bruno Fernandes has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Cole Palmer is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Gabriel leads on total points and the gap stands at 96. On attacking output, Gabriel edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Gabriel has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Luke Shaw has 1 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 25.8% for Gabriel and 24.5% for Luke Shaw, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Gabriel.

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Priced at £8.0m and £5.5m, there is a £2.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Gabriel generates more points per million this season. Gabriel at 26.1 against Pedro Porro at 21.3. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Gabriel the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 25.8% and 23.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Gabriel at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 3.1 for Nico O'Reilly, a gap of 0.9 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Gabriel has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Nico O'Reilly is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Nico O'Reilly leads on total points and the gap stands at 47. On attacking output, Nico O'Reilly edges the combined goals and assists count with 9 direct contributions. Nico O'Reilly has 5 goals and 4 assists this season; Luke Shaw has 1 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 22.9% for Nico O'Reilly and 24.5% for Luke Shaw, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Nico O'Reilly.

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Priced at £4.5m and £4.5m, there is a £0.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Luke Shaw generates more points per million this season. Ezri Konsa at 22.2 against Luke Shaw at 25.1. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Ezri Konsa the edge at 1.7 projected points. With ownership at 17.5% and 24.5% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Marc Guéhi at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Ezri Konsa, a gap of 1.1 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Marc Guéhi has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ezri Konsa is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Declan Rice leads on total points and the gap stands at 56. On attacking output, Declan Rice edges the combined goals and assists count with 13 direct contributions. Iliman Ndiaye has 6 goals and 3 assists this season; Declan Rice has 4 goals and 9 assists. Ownership sits at 17.1% for Iliman Ndiaye and 22.3% for Declan Rice, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.6 expected points for Declan Rice.

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Priced at £5.5m and £6.0m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Marc Guéhi generates more points per million this season. Riccardo Calafiori at 19.8 against Marc Guéhi at 29.8. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Marc Guéhi the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 15.1% and 24% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Antoine Semenyo at 2.9 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Iliman Ndiaye, a gap of 0.8 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Iliman Ndiaye has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Antoine Semenyo is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Antoine Semenyo leads on total points and the gap stands at 54. On attacking output, Antoine Semenyo edges the combined goals and assists count with 23 direct contributions. Bryan Mbeumo has 11 goals and 3 assists this season; Antoine Semenyo has 17 goals and 6 assists. Ownership sits at 16.4% for Bryan Mbeumo and 21.9% for Antoine Semenyo, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.9 expected points for Antoine Semenyo.

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Priced at £6.0m and £5.0m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Marc Guéhi generates more points per million this season. Marc Guéhi at 29.8 against Neco Williams at 25.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Marc Guéhi the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 24% and 13.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Antoine Semenyo at 2.9 for Gameweek 1, against 2.8 for Cunha, a gap of 0.1 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Cunha has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Antoine Semenyo is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Igor Thiago leads on total points and the gap stands at 39. On attacking output, Igor Thiago edges the combined goals and assists count with 23 direct contributions. Dominic Calvert-Lewin has 14 goals and 2 assists this season; Igor Thiago has 22 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 20.6% for Dominic Calvert-Lewin and 15.8% for Igor Thiago, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Igor Thiago.

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Priced at £6.0m and £8.0m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Dominic Calvert-Lewin generates more points per million this season. Dominic Calvert-Lewin at 23.7 against Ollie Watkins at 20.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Ollie Watkins the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 20.6% and 12.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Neco Williams at 2.2 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Ezri Konsa, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Ezri Konsa has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Neco Williams is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Bryan Mbeumo leads on total points and the gap stands at 34. On attacking output, Bryan Mbeumo edges the combined goals and assists count with 14 direct contributions. Bryan Mbeumo has 11 goals and 3 assists this season; Cole Palmer has 10 goals and 2 assists. Ownership sits at 16.4% for Bryan Mbeumo and 12.7% for Cole Palmer, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.2 expected points for Cole Palmer.

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Priced at £7.5m and £8.0m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Igor Thiago generates more points per million this season. Viktor Gyökeres at 17.1 against Igor Thiago at 22.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Igor Thiago the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 13.1% and 15.8% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Virgil at 3.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.8 for Maxence Lacroix, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Maxence Lacroix has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Virgil is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Igor Thiago leads on total points and the gap stands at 67. On attacking output, Igor Thiago edges the combined goals and assists count with 23 direct contributions. Igor Jesus has 6 goals and 6 assists this season; Igor Thiago has 22 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 4.9% for Igor Jesus and 15.8% for Igor Thiago, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Igor Thiago.

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Priced at £5.5m and £8.0m, there is a £2.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Igor Thiago generates more points per million this season. Beto at 18.9 against Igor Thiago at 22.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Igor Thiago the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 3.3% and 15.8% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Ollie Watkins at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 1.8 for Beto, a gap of 0.7 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Beto has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ollie Watkins is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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