FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

The expected points model has Bruno Fernandes at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.5 for Dominik Szoboszlai, a gap of 1.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bruno Fernandes has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Erling Haaland leads on total points and the gap stands at 58. On attacking output, Erling Haaland edges the combined goals and assists count with 35 direct contributions. Erling Haaland has 27 goals and 8 assists this season; Igor Thiago has 22 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 75% for Erling Haaland and 15.8% for Igor Thiago, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Erling Haaland.

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Priced at £12.0m and £7.5m, there is a £4.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Morgan Rogers generates more points per million this season. Bruno Fernandes at 19.6 against Morgan Rogers at 22.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bruno Fernandes the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 48.6% and 30.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has João Pedro at 2.3 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Brian Brobbey, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Brian Brobbey has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while João Pedro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Declan Rice leads on total points and the gap stands at 24. On attacking output, Declan Rice edges the combined goals and assists count with 13 direct contributions. Declan Rice has 4 goals and 9 assists this season; Dominik Szoboszlai has 6 goals and 7 assists. Ownership sits at 22.3% for Declan Rice and 47.8% for Dominik Szoboszlai, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.6 expected points for Declan Rice.

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Priced at £12.0m and £9.5m, there is a £2.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Bruno Fernandes generates more points per million this season. Bruno Fernandes at 19.6 against Cole Palmer at 12. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bruno Fernandes the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 48.6% and 12.7% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has João Pedro at 2.3 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Igor Jesus, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Igor Jesus has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while João Pedro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, João Pedro leads on total points and the gap stands at 73. On attacking output, João Pedro edges the combined goals and assists count with 24 direct contributions. Beto has 9 goals and 1 assists this season; João Pedro has 15 goals and 9 assists. Ownership sits at 3.3% for Beto and 54.7% for João Pedro, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.3 expected points for João Pedro.

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Priced at £7.5m and £8.5m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Antoine Semenyo generates more points per million this season. Morgan Rogers at 22.5 against Antoine Semenyo at 23.8. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Antoine Semenyo the edge at 2.9 projected points. With ownership at 30.9% and 21.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Marc Guéhi at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Luke Shaw, a gap of 1.1 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Marc Guéhi has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Luke Shaw is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Morgan Rogers leads on total points and the gap stands at 21. On attacking output, Morgan Rogers edges the combined goals and assists count with 18 direct contributions. Bryan Mbeumo has 11 goals and 3 assists this season; Morgan Rogers has 10 goals and 8 assists. Ownership sits at 16.4% for Bryan Mbeumo and 30.9% for Morgan Rogers, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Bryan Mbeumo.

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Priced at £9.5m and £7.5m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Morgan Rogers generates more points per million this season. Cole Palmer at 12 against Morgan Rogers at 22.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Cole Palmer the edge at 3.2 projected points. With ownership at 12.7% and 30.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Gabriel at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 3.1 for Virgil, a gap of 0.9 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Gabriel has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Virgil is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Virgil leads on total points and the gap stands at 58. On attacking output, Virgil edges the combined goals and assists count with 7 direct contributions. Pedro Porro has 1 goals and 3 assists this season; Virgil has 6 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 23.9% for Pedro Porro and 16.2% for Virgil, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Virgil.

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Priced at £8.0m and £8.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Antoine Semenyo generates more points per million this season. Bryan Mbeumo at 18.5 against Antoine Semenyo at 23.8. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Antoine Semenyo the edge at 2.9 projected points. With ownership at 16.4% and 21.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Cole Palmer at 3.2 for Gameweek 1, against 2.6 for Declan Rice, a gap of 0.6 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Cole Palmer has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Declan Rice is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Nico O'Reilly leads on total points and the gap stands at 6. On attacking output, Nico O'Reilly edges the combined goals and assists count with 9 direct contributions. Maxence Lacroix has 1 goals and 2 assists this season; Nico O'Reilly has 5 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 12% for Maxence Lacroix and 22.9% for Nico O'Reilly, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Nico O'Reilly.

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Priced at £6.0m and £8.0m, there is a £2.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Dominic Calvert-Lewin generates more points per million this season. Dominic Calvert-Lewin at 23.7 against Ollie Watkins at 20.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Ollie Watkins the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 20.6% and 12.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Neco Williams at 2.2 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Ezri Konsa, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Ezri Konsa has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Neco Williams is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Bryan Mbeumo leads on total points and the gap stands at 1. On attacking output, Bryan Mbeumo edges the combined goals and assists count with 14 direct contributions. Enzo Le Fée has 5 goals and 6 assists this season; Bryan Mbeumo has 11 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 12.2% for Enzo Le Fée and 16.4% for Bryan Mbeumo, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Bryan Mbeumo.

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Priced at £6.0m and £6.5m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Jean-Philippe Mateta generates more points per million this season. Brian Brobbey at 15.3 against Jean-Philippe Mateta at 17.5. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Jean-Philippe Mateta the edge at 2.1 projected points. With ownership at 21% and 7.1% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Ollie Watkins at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.3 for Viktor Gyökeres, a gap of 0.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Viktor Gyökeres has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Ollie Watkins is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Maxence Lacroix leads on total points and the gap stands at 26. On attacking output, Neco Williams edges the combined goals and assists count with 5 direct contributions. Maxence Lacroix has 1 goals and 2 assists this season; Neco Williams has 2 goals and 3 assists. Ownership sits at 12% for Maxence Lacroix and 13.3% for Neco Williams, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Maxence Lacroix.

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Priced at £5.5m and £8.0m, there is a £2.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Igor Thiago generates more points per million this season. Beto at 18.9 against Igor Thiago at 22.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Igor Thiago the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 3.3% and 15.8% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Jean-Philippe Mateta at 2.1 for Gameweek 1, against 1.8 for Beto, a gap of 0.3 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Beto has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Jean-Philippe Mateta is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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