Ownership
16.2%
Form (5 GWs)
8.0
Expected pts, GW6
8
Transfers in this GW
29,239
FPL ownership
16.2% of managers own Virgil
Scale: Strong differential ≤5% ownership · Differential ≤10% · Mild ≤20% · above that is template territory.
Fixture run
GW6
Man City
Home
GW7
Brentford
Away
GW8
Brighton
Home
GW9
Arsenal
Home
At 16.2% ownership, Virgil sits in mild differential territory. The fixture and form data this week support a return, which makes the ownership gap meaningful. A big score would see you gain on a useful portion of the field.
- Ownership: 16.2% - mild differential
- Expected points: 8 xPts for GW6 - strong return projection
- Fixture run: 2 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks
Weighing Virgil as a differential in GW6
The case for picking him
- Ownership: at 16.2%, a single good return creates a meaningful rank advantage over the 84% of managers who do not own him.
- Expected points: 8 xPts projected for GW6 - the model backs a return at worthwhile odds for a differential play.
- Form: 8.0 pts/game over the last 5 gameweeks - actively scoring, not just theoretically differential.
- Fixture run: 2 manageable fixtures ahead. The schedule supports holding a differential pick beyond this week.
- Availability: no fitness concerns - a differential who misses through injury is the worst outcome.
The risks of the differential play
- The main risk of any differential pick is a blank when others captain and return. The rank swing works both ways.
Virgil Differential Analysis Gameweek 6
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