Ownership
16%
Form (5 GWs)
5.3
Expected pts, GW7
5.3
Transfers in this GW
1,213
FPL ownership
16% of managers own Virgil
Scale: Strong differential ≤5% ownership · Differential ≤10% · Mild ≤20% · above that is template territory.
Fixture run
GW7
Brentford
Away
GW8
Brighton
Home
GW9
Arsenal
Home
GW10
Crystal Palace
Away
At 16% ownership, Virgil sits in mild differential territory. The fixture and form data this week support a return, which makes the ownership gap meaningful. A big score would see you gain on a useful portion of the field.
- Ownership: 16% - mild differential
- Expected points: 5.3 xPts for GW7 - reasonable return expectation
- Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks
Genuine differential alternatives this week
Weighing Virgil as a differential in GW7
The case for picking him
- Ownership: at 16%, a single good return creates a meaningful rank advantage over the 84% of managers who do not own him.
- Expected points: 5.3 xPts for GW7 - a reasonable floor for a differential pick. Not elite projection, but viable.
- Form: 5.3 pts/game - moderate recent output. The differential case is not purely speculative.
- Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks - a sustained differential window, not a one-week gamble.
- Availability: no fitness concerns - a differential who misses through injury is the worst outcome.
The risks of the differential play
- The main risk of any differential pick is a blank when others captain and return. The rank swing works both ways.
Virgil Differential Analysis Gameweek 7
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