FPLDifferential Analysis

Is Brenden Aaronson a good differential for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 33?

Gameweek 33 · LEE · MID · £5.4m

Aaronson
MIDLEE

Aaronson

LEE

114

Pts

4.0

Form

£5.4m

Price

No credit card required
Instant access

Ownership

1.1%

Form (last 6 GWs)

4.0

Expected pts, GW33

8.5

Transfers in this GW

26k

FPL ownership

1.1% of managers own Aaronson

0%100%

Scale: Strong differential ≤5% ownership · Differential ≤10% · Mild ≤20% · above that is template territory.

Fixture run

GW33

DGW
Wolves

Wolves

H

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

A

GW34

No fixture

GW35

Burnley

Burnley

Home

GW36

Spurs

Spurs

Away

STRONG DIFFERENTIAL

At 1.1% ownership, Aaronson is a strong differential pick for GW33. The data backs a return - form is solid, the fixture is favourable, and a haul would see you jump past approximately 99% of managers. On the numbers, this is one of the more compelling differential calls available right now.

  • Ownership: 1.1% - true differential territory
  • Expected points: 8.5 xPts for GW33 - strong return projection
  • Double Gameweek in GW33: two fixtures doubles the ceiling of a differential hold

Differential captaincy

Differential captaincy upside: if you captain Aaronson and he returns 12 points, you receive 24. At 1.1% ownership, approximately 99% of managers receive 0 captain points from him. That is the rank swing that makes differential captaincy one of the highest-leverage calls in the game - and the current data supports Aaronson as a live option.

The case for Aaronson as a strong differential in GW33

The case for picking him

  • Ownership: at 1.1%, a single good return creates a meaningful rank advantage over the 99% of managers who do not own him.
  • Expected points: 8.5 xPts projected for GW33 - the model backs a return at worthwhile odds for a differential play.
  • Form: 4.0 pts/game - moderate recent output. The differential case is not purely speculative.
  • Double Gameweek: a DGW amplifies the differential upside significantly. Two chances to return means a higher ceiling for a low-owned pick.
  • Fixture run: 4 favourable fixtures in the next 4 gameweeks - a sustained differential window, not a one-week gamble.
  • Availability: no fitness concerns - a differential who misses through injury is the worst outcome.

The risks of the differential play

  • The main risk of any differential pick is a blank when others captain and return. The rank swing works both ways.

Aaronson Differential Analysis Gameweek 33

Click a question below for the full breakdown.

CF
At 1.1% ownership, Aaronson is a strong differential pick for GW33. The data backs a return - form is solid, the fixture is favourable, and a haul would see you jump past approximately 99% of managers. On the numbers, this is one of the more compelling differential calls available right now. Click a question below for the full differential breakdown.

Ask a question

ChatFPL AI

Want to know if Aaronson fits your squad as a differential pick? ChatFPL AI can assess whether the move makes sense for your team and rank target.

Get 20 free messages. No credit card required.

Try ChatFPL AI for free