The Best FPL Differential Picks for Gameweek 4

Tyrique George faces Spurs (A) in Gameweek 4, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 5.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and projected expected points of 5.0 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.4%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Tyrique George delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 4.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Bournemouth (A) in Gameweek 4 make Mikkel Damsgaard one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 4.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.5%. Getting Mikkel Damsgaard right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.5% of FPL managers own Lewie Coyle heading into Gameweek 4, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £4.0m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 4.0 expected points against Chelsea (A), rated Hard for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 4.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Jayden Bogle faces Newcastle (H) in Gameweek 4, a fixture rated Easy for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 7.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and projected expected points of 7.3 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 1.1%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Jayden Bogle delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 6.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and a Hard fixture against Liverpool (A) in Gameweek 4 make Josh King one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 6.3 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 1.0%. Getting Josh King right when roughly 99% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.7% of FPL managers own Dan Ndoye heading into Gameweek 4, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 99% of the field, and at £5.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 4.3 expected points against Aston Villa (A), rated Hard for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 4.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Ryan Giles faces Chelsea (A) in Gameweek 4, a fixture rated Hard for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 6.7 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and projected expected points of 6.7 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 1.2%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Ryan Giles delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 7.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Bournemouth (A) in Gameweek 4 make Vitaly Janelt one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 7.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 1.3%. Getting Vitaly Janelt right when roughly 99% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.0m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.9% of FPL managers own Mohamed Belloumi heading into Gameweek 4, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 99% of the field, and at £5.0m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 4.7 expected points against Chelsea (A), rated Hard for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 4.7 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Timothy Castagne faces Liverpool (A) in Gameweek 4, a fixture rated Hard for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 4.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and projected expected points of 4.3 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.9%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Timothy Castagne delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 4.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and a Easy fixture against Newcastle (H) in Gameweek 4 make Jaka Bijol one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 4.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.9%. Getting Jaka Bijol right when roughly 99% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.0m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 1.2% of FPL managers own Kobbie Mainoo heading into Gameweek 4, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 99% of the field, and at £5.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 4.7 expected points against Man City (H), rated Hard for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 4.7 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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James Justin faces Newcastle (H) in Gameweek 4, a fixture rated Easy for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 5.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and projected expected points of 5.3 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 1.5%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if James Justin delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 5.7 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Leeds (A) in Gameweek 4 make Harvey Barnes one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 5.7 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 1.7%. Getting Harvey Barnes right when roughly 98% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £6.0m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 1.3% of FPL managers own Victor Munoz heading into Gameweek 4, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 99% of the field, and at £6.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 4.3 expected points against Fulham (H), rated Easy for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 4.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Wilson Isidor faces Arsenal (H) in Gameweek 4, a fixture rated Hard for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 4.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and projected expected points of 4.3 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 1.3%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Wilson Isidor delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 6.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Bournemouth (A) in Gameweek 4 make Keane Lewis-Potter one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 6.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 2.2%. Getting Keane Lewis-Potter right when roughly 98% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 1.6% of FPL managers own Murillo heading into Gameweek 4, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 98% of the field, and at £5.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 4.3 expected points against Aston Villa (A), rated Hard for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 4.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Nikola Milenković faces Aston Villa (A) in Gameweek 4, a fixture rated Hard for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 4.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and projected expected points of 4.0 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 1.6%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Nikola Milenković delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 4.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Spurs (A) in Gameweek 4 make Jarrad Branthwaite one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 4.3 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 1.8%. Getting Jarrad Branthwaite right when roughly 98% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 1.7% of FPL managers own Emersonn heading into Gameweek 4, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 98% of the field, and at £5.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 4.0 expected points against Crystal Palace (A), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 4.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Marcus Tavernier faces Brentford (H) in Gameweek 4, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 7.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and projected expected points of 7.0 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 3.0%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Marcus Tavernier delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 6.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and a Easy fixture against Coventry City (A) in Gameweek 4 make Luka Vuskovic one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 6.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 2.7%. Getting Luka Vuskovic right when roughly 97% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.0m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 2.9% of FPL managers own Anton Stach heading into Gameweek 4, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 97% of the field, and at £6.0m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 6.3 expected points against Newcastle (H), rated Easy for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 6.3 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Alex Scott faces Brentford (H) in Gameweek 4, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 8.0 points per game over the last 2 gameweeks and projected expected points of 8.0 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 3.7%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Alex Scott delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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