FPL Head-to-Head Picks for Gameweek 1

The expected points model has Erling Haaland at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.3 for João Pedro, a gap of 1.7 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Erling Haaland has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while João Pedro is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Erling Haaland leads on total points and the gap stands at 58. On attacking output, Erling Haaland edges the combined goals and assists count with 35 direct contributions. Erling Haaland has 27 goals and 8 assists this season; Igor Thiago has 22 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 75% for Erling Haaland and 15.8% for Igor Thiago, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 4.0 expected points for Erling Haaland.

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Priced at £7.5m and £15.5m, there is a £8.0m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Viktor Gyökeres generates more points per million this season. Viktor Gyökeres at 17.1 against Erling Haaland at 15.4. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Erling Haaland the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 13.1% and 75% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Igor Thiago at 2.5 for Gameweek 1, against 2.3 for João Pedro, a gap of 0.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: João Pedro has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Igor Thiago is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, João Pedro leads on total points and the gap stands at 10. On attacking output, João Pedro edges the combined goals and assists count with 24 direct contributions. João Pedro has 15 goals and 9 assists this season; Ollie Watkins has 16 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 54.7% for João Pedro and 12.3% for Ollie Watkins, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Ollie Watkins.

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Priced at £12.0m and £6.0m, there is a £6.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Iliman Ndiaye generates more points per million this season. Bruno Fernandes at 19.6 against Iliman Ndiaye at 21.3. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bruno Fernandes the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 48.6% and 17.1% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Bruno Fernandes at 4.0 for Gameweek 1, against 2.8 for Bryan Mbeumo, a gap of 1.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bruno Fernandes has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Bryan Mbeumo is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Dominik Szoboszlai leads on total points and the gap stands at 32. On attacking output, Dominik Szoboszlai edges the combined goals and assists count with 13 direct contributions. Iliman Ndiaye has 6 goals and 3 assists this season; Dominik Szoboszlai has 6 goals and 7 assists. Ownership sits at 17.1% for Iliman Ndiaye and 47.8% for Dominik Szoboszlai, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Dominik Szoboszlai.

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Priced at £12.0m and £8.0m, there is a £4.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Bruno Fernandes generates more points per million this season. Bruno Fernandes at 19.6 against Cunha at 17.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Bruno Fernandes the edge at 4.0 projected points. With ownership at 48.6% and 14.6% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Ezri Konsa at 1.7 for Gameweek 1, against 1.7 for Luke Shaw, a gap of 0.0 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Ezri Konsa has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Luke Shaw is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Marc Guéhi leads on total points and the gap stands at 79. On attacking output, Marc Guéhi edges the combined goals and assists count with 8 direct contributions. Marc Guéhi has 3 goals and 5 assists this season; Ezri Konsa has 0 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 24% for Marc Guéhi and 17.5% for Ezri Konsa, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.8 expected points for Marc Guéhi.

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Priced at £5.5m and £6.5m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Virgil generates more points per million this season. Pedro Porro at 21.3 against Virgil at 26.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Virgil the edge at 3.1 projected points. With ownership at 23.9% and 16.2% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Declan Rice at 2.6 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Iliman Ndiaye, a gap of 0.5 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Iliman Ndiaye has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Declan Rice is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Nico O'Reilly leads on total points and the gap stands at 51. On attacking output, Nico O'Reilly edges the combined goals and assists count with 9 direct contributions. Riccardo Calafiori has 1 goals and 2 assists this season; Nico O'Reilly has 5 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 15.1% for Riccardo Calafiori and 22.9% for Nico O'Reilly, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Nico O'Reilly.

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Priced at £6.0m and £5.0m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Marc Guéhi generates more points per million this season. Marc Guéhi at 29.8 against Neco Williams at 25.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Marc Guéhi the edge at 2.8 projected points. With ownership at 24% and 13.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Marc Guéhi at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.8 for Maxence Lacroix, a gap of 0.0 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Marc Guéhi has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Maxence Lacroix is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Nico O'Reilly leads on total points and the gap stands at 6. On attacking output, Nico O'Reilly edges the combined goals and assists count with 9 direct contributions. Maxence Lacroix has 1 goals and 2 assists this season; Nico O'Reilly has 5 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 12% for Maxence Lacroix and 22.9% for Nico O'Reilly, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 3.1 expected points for Nico O'Reilly.

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Priced at £9.5m and £8.5m, there is a £1.0m differential between these two MIDs. On a pure value basis, Antoine Semenyo generates more points per million this season. Cole Palmer at 12 against Antoine Semenyo at 23.8. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Cole Palmer the edge at 3.2 projected points. With ownership at 12.7% and 21.9% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Bryan Mbeumo at 2.8 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Iliman Ndiaye, a gap of 0.7 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Bryan Mbeumo has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Iliman Ndiaye is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Ollie Watkins leads on total points and the gap stands at 75. On attacking output, Ollie Watkins edges the combined goals and assists count with 20 direct contributions. Brian Brobbey has 7 goals and 2 assists this season; Ollie Watkins has 16 goals and 4 assists. Ownership sits at 21% for Brian Brobbey and 12.3% for Ollie Watkins, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Ollie Watkins.

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Priced at £4.5m and £5.0m, there is a £0.5m differential between these two DEFs. On a pure value basis, Neco Williams generates more points per million this season. Ezri Konsa at 22.2 against Neco Williams at 25.6. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Neco Williams the edge at 2.2 projected points. With ownership at 17.5% and 13.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Viktor Gyökeres at 2.3 for Gameweek 1, against 2.1 for Jean-Philippe Mateta, a gap of 0.2 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Viktor Gyökeres has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Jean-Philippe Mateta is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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Across the season, Igor Thiago leads on total points and the gap stands at 77. On attacking output, Igor Thiago edges the combined goals and assists count with 23 direct contributions. Beto has 9 goals and 1 assists this season; Igor Thiago has 22 goals and 1 assists. Ownership sits at 3.3% for Beto and 15.8% for Igor Thiago, meaning this is a decision with real rank implications across a significant slice of the field. For Gameweek 1, the model projects 2.5 expected points for Igor Thiago.

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Priced at £5.5m and £8.0m, there is a £2.5m differential between these two FWDs. On a pure value basis, Ollie Watkins generates more points per million this season. Beto at 18.9 against Ollie Watkins at 20.9. The Gameweek 1 expected points model gives Ollie Watkins the edge at 2.5 projected points. With ownership at 3.3% and 12.3% respectively, picking the right one has meaningful rank consequences. The full fixture-by-fixture comparison is on the dedicated head-to-head page.

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The expected points model has Jean-Philippe Mateta at 2.1 for Gameweek 1, against 2.0 for Igor Jesus, a gap of 0.1 points heading into this gameweek. Form supports that picture: Igor Jesus has averaged 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks, while Jean-Philippe Mateta is averaging 0.0. Both players are competing for budget space in millions of squads, and the decision often comes down to who carries better short-term momentum. The full fixture run and detailed head-to-head breakdown are available on the comparison page.

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