
Form of 3.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Brentford (H) in Gameweek 36 make Bernardo one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 7.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.7%. Getting Bernardo right when roughly 99% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £6.2m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.
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Only 0.4% of FPL managers own Georginio heading into Gameweek 36, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.6m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 4.5 expected points against Wolves (H), rated Very Easy for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 3.5 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.
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Mathias Jensen faces Man City (A) in Gameweek 36, a fixture rated Very Hard for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 4.5 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 4.0 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.1%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Mathias Jensen delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.
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Form of 2.8 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Very Easy fixture against Wolves (H) in Gameweek 36 make Yasin Ayari one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 3.8 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.4%. Getting Yasin Ayari right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £4.8m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.
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Only 0.1% of FPL managers own Curtis Jones heading into Gameweek 36, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.4m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 3.7 expected points against Chelsea (H), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 3.2 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.
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Jefferson Lerma faces Everton (H) in Gameweek 36, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 2.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 3.5 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.1%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Jefferson Lerma delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.
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Timothy Castagne
3.5
xPts
3.5
Form
0.1%
Owned
1,179
Transfers In
Form of 3.5 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Bournemouth (H) in Gameweek 36 make Timothy Castagne one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 3.5 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.1%. Getting Timothy Castagne right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £4.3m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.
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Only 0.4% of FPL managers own Tomáš Souček heading into Gameweek 36, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.7m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 3.5 expected points against Arsenal (H), rated Hard for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 4.5 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.
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Calvin Bassey faces Bournemouth (H) in Gameweek 36, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 4.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 4.0 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.6%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Calvin Bassey delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.
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Form of 4.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Spurs (A) in Gameweek 36 make Ethan Ampadu one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 4.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.6%. Getting Ethan Ampadu right when roughly 99% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £4.9m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.
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Only 0.7% of FPL managers own Jayden Bogle heading into Gameweek 36, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 99% of the field, and at £4.4m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 4.5 expected points against Spurs (A), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 4.5 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.
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Sven Botman faces Nott'm Forest (A) in Gameweek 36, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 3.2 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 3.2 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.4%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Sven Botman delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.
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Form of 4.5 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Sunderland (A) in Gameweek 36 make Luke Shaw one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 5.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.8%. Getting Luke Shaw right when roughly 99% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £4.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.
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Only 0.4% of FPL managers own Mats Wieffer heading into Gameweek 36, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £4.9m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 3.1 expected points against Wolves (H), rated Very Easy for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 5.2 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.
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Daichi Kamada faces Everton (H) in Gameweek 36, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 1.8 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 3.1 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.1%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Daichi Kamada delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.
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Mikkel Damsgaard
4.3
xPts
4.8
Form
0.7%
Owned
3,359
Transfers In
Form of 4.8 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Very Hard fixture against Man City (A) in Gameweek 36 make Mikkel Damsgaard one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 4.3 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.7%. Getting Mikkel Damsgaard right when roughly 99% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.6m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.
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Only 0.4% of FPL managers own Emiliano Buendía heading into Gameweek 36, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.3m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 3.0 expected points against Burnley (A), rated Easy for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 2.5 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.
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Yehor Yarmoliuk faces Man City (A) in Gameweek 36, a fixture rated Very Hard for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 3.5 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 3.0 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.1%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Yehor Yarmoliuk delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.
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Form of 3.8 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Hard fixture against Brighton (A) in Gameweek 36 make Santiago Bueno one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.8 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.1%. Getting Santiago Bueno right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £4.4m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.
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Thierno Barry
3.8
xPts
3.8
Form
0.7%
Owned
6,860
Transfers In
Only 0.7% of FPL managers own Thierno Barry heading into Gameweek 36, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 99% of the field, and at £5.7m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 3.8 expected points against Crystal Palace (A), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 3.8 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.
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Zian Flemming faces Aston Villa (H) in Gameweek 36, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 3.2 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.7 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.3%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Zian Flemming delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.
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Form of 5.8 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Very Easy fixture against Wolves (H) in Gameweek 36 make Ferdi Kadıoğlu one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 6.8 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 1.3%. Getting Ferdi Kadıoğlu right when roughly 99% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £4.4m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.
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Only 0.1% of FPL managers own Saša Lukić heading into Gameweek 36, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £4.9m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.5 expected points against Bournemouth (H), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 2.5 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.
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Omari Hutchinson faces Newcastle (H) in Gameweek 36, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 2.5 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.5 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.1%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Omari Hutchinson delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.
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Form of 2.5 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Easy fixture against Leeds (H) in Gameweek 36 make Rodrigo Bentancur one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.5 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.2%. Getting Rodrigo Bentancur right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.2m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.
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Ranked by expected points divided by ownership percentage. Excludes goalkeepers, ruled-out players, and anyone with more than 20% ownership. Updated hourly.
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