Ownership
22.2%
Form (last 6 GWs)
0.0
Expected pts, GW1
3.1
Transfers in this GW
0
FPL ownership
22.2% of managers own O'Reilly
Scale: Strong differential ≤5% ownership · Differential ≤10% · Mild ≤20% · above that is template territory.
Fixture run
GW1
Bournemouth
Home
GW2
Crystal Palace
Away
GW3
Coventry City
Home
GW4
Man Utd
Away
At 22.2% ownership, O'Reilly does not qualify as a differential pick. Owning or not owning him is a template decision that carries significant rank consequences either way, but that is a different calculation to differential selection. If you are looking for low-ownership players who could swing your rank this week, the genuine differentials are listed below.
- Ownership: 22.2% - template player, not a differential
- Expected points: 3.1 xPts for GW1 - low return projection weakens the differential case
- Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks
Why O'Reilly is not a differential pick
Why this matters for your rank
- Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures over the next 4 gameweeks - a sustained differential window, not a one-week gamble.
The risks of not owning him
- Ownership: at 22.2%, O'Reilly is a template player. Not owning him is the differential decision - and it carries significant rank risk if he returns.
- Form: 0.0 pts/game over the last 6 gameweeks - low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed.
- Expected points: only 3.1 xPts projected for GW1. A differential needs some return floor to be viable - the model does not back one this week.
O'Reilly Differential Analysis Gameweek 1
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