FPLDifferential Analysis

Is Guglielmo Vicario a good differential for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 32?

Gameweek 32 · TOT · GKP · £4.7m

Vicario
GKPTOT

Vicario

TOT

90

Pts

2.5

Form

£4.7m

Price

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Ownership

5.4%

Form (last 6 GWs)

2.5

Expected pts, GW32

0.6

Transfers in this GW

367

FPL ownership

5.4% of managers own Vicario

0%
Strong diffDifferentialMild diff
100%

Fixture run

GW32

Sunderland

Sunderland

Away

GW33

Brighton

Brighton

Home

GW34

Wolves

Wolves

Away

GW35

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Away

DIFFERENTIAL

At 5.4% ownership, Vicario qualifies as a differential on ownership alone. However, the current form and fixture data mean this is a speculative pick rather than a data-backed one. Whether the gamble is worth it depends on your rank situation.

  • Ownership: 5.4% - solid differential range
  • Expected points: 0.6 xPts for GW32 - low return projection weakens the differential case
  • Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures in the next 4 gameweeks

Differential captaincy

Differential captaincy note: captaining a 5.4% owned player amplifies the rank impact of any return. At this ownership level, a 12-point haul as captain would see you gain significantly on approximately 95% of managers. The risk is proportional - a blank from a differential captain costs no rank points directly, but represents a missed opportunity relative to managers who captained a higher-return option.

Weighing Vicario as a differential in GW32

The case for picking him

  • Ownership: at 5.4%, a single good return creates a meaningful rank advantage over the 95% of managers who do not own him.
  • Fixture run: 3 favourable fixtures in the next 4 gameweeks - a sustained differential window, not a one-week gamble.

The risks of the differential play

  • Form: 2.5 pts/game over the last 6 gameweeks - low ownership can reflect what the broader game has already assessed.
  • Expected points: only 0.6 xPts projected for GW32. A differential needs some return floor to be viable - the model does not back one this week.
  • Hernia - 25% chance of playing - a differential pick who does not play delivers zero rank benefit.

Vicario Differential Analysis Gameweek 32

Click a question below for the full breakdown.

CF
At 5.4% ownership, Vicario qualifies as a differential on ownership alone. However, the current form and fixture data mean this is a speculative pick rather than a data-backed one. Whether the gamble is worth it depends on your rank situation. Click a question below for the full differential breakdown.

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