The Best FPL Differential Picks for Gameweek 1

Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Aston Villa (H) in Gameweek 1 make Mats Wieffer one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.2 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.3%. Getting Mats Wieffer right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.0m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.5% of FPL managers own Pascal Struijk heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.0m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.2 expected points against Aston Villa (H), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Jake O'Brien faces Crystal Palace (H) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.2 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.5%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Jake O'Brien delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Nott'm Forest (A) in Gameweek 1 make Jaka Bijol one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.2 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.3%. Getting Jaka Bijol right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.0m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.4% of FPL managers own Sven Botman heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.0m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.2 expected points against Liverpool (H), rated Hard for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Jack Hinshelwood faces Aston Villa (H) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.1 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.3%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Jack Hinshelwood delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Everton (A) in Gameweek 1 make Brennan Johnson one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.1 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.2%. Getting Brennan Johnson right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £6.0m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.4% of FPL managers own Tijjani Reijnders heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £6.0m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.1 expected points against Bournemouth (H), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Jacob Murphy faces Liverpool (H) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Hard for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.1 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.2%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Jacob Murphy delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Brighton (A) in Gameweek 1 make Joao Gomes one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.3%. Getting Joao Gomes right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.5% of FPL managers own Keane Lewis-Potter heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.0 expected points against Spurs (H), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Mathias Jensen faces Spurs (H) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.0 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.1%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Mathias Jensen delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Aston Villa (H) in Gameweek 1 make Yasin Ayari one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.5%. Getting Yasin Ayari right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.2% of FPL managers own Yeremy heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.0 expected points against Everton (A), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Emile Smith Rowe faces Chelsea (H) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Hard for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.0 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.4%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Emile Smith Rowe delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Newcastle (A) in Gameweek 1 make Curtis Jones one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.1%. Getting Curtis Jones right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.1% of FPL managers own Nico Gonzalez heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.0 expected points against Bournemouth (H), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Omari Hutchinson faces Leeds (H) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Easy for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.0 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.1%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Omari Hutchinson delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Brentford (A) in Gameweek 1 make Rodrigo Bentancur one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.1%. Getting Rodrigo Bentancur right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.2% of FPL managers own Chemsdine Talbi heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.0 expected points against Ipswich Town (A), rated Easy for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Murillo faces Leeds (H) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Easy for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 1.9 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.2%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Murillo delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Easy fixture against Hull City (A) in Gameweek 1 make Leny Yoro one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.2 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.6%. Getting Leny Yoro right when roughly 99% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.0m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.2% of FPL managers own Pau heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £4.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 1.7 expected points against Brighton (A), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Kenny Tete faces Chelsea (H) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Hard for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 1.7 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.2%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Kenny Tete delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Hard fixture against Chelsea (H) in Gameweek 1 make Calvin Bassey one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 1.7 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.5%. Getting Calvin Bassey right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £4.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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