The Best FPL Differential Picks for Gameweek 1

Mats Wieffer faces Aston Villa (H) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.2 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.3%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Mats Wieffer delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Aston Villa (H) in Gameweek 1 make Pascal Struijk one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.2 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.5%. Getting Pascal Struijk right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.0m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.5% of FPL managers own Jake O'Brien heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.0m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.2 expected points against Crystal Palace (H), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Jaka Bijol faces Nott'm Forest (A) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.2 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.3%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Jaka Bijol delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Hard fixture against Liverpool (H) in Gameweek 1 make Sven Botman one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.2 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.4%. Getting Sven Botman right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.0m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.3% of FPL managers own Jack Hinshelwood heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £6.0m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.1 expected points against Aston Villa (H), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Brennan Johnson faces Everton (A) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.1 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.2%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Brennan Johnson delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Bournemouth (H) in Gameweek 1 make Tijjani Reijnders one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.1 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.4%. Getting Tijjani Reijnders right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £6.0m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.2% of FPL managers own Jacob Murphy heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £6.0m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.1 expected points against Liverpool (H), rated Hard for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Joao Gomes faces Brighton (A) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.0 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.3%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Joao Gomes delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Spurs (H) in Gameweek 1 make Keane Lewis-Potter one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.5%. Getting Keane Lewis-Potter right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.1% of FPL managers own Mathias Jensen heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.0 expected points against Spurs (H), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Yasin Ayari faces Aston Villa (H) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.0 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.5%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Yasin Ayari delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Everton (A) in Gameweek 1 make Yeremy one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.2%. Getting Yeremy right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.4% of FPL managers own Emile Smith Rowe heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.0 expected points against Chelsea (H), rated Hard for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Curtis Jones faces Newcastle (A) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.0 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.1%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Curtis Jones delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Bournemouth (H) in Gameweek 1 make Nico Gonzalez one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.1%. Getting Nico Gonzalez right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.1% of FPL managers own Omari Hutchinson heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.0 expected points against Leeds (H), rated Easy for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Rodrigo Bentancur faces Brentford (A) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.0 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.1%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Rodrigo Bentancur delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Easy fixture against Ipswich Town (A) in Gameweek 1 make Chemsdine Talbi one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.2%. Getting Chemsdine Talbi right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.2% of FPL managers own Murillo heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 1.9 expected points against Leeds (H), rated Easy for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Leny Yoro faces Hull City (A) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Easy for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.2 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.6%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Leny Yoro delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Brighton (A) in Gameweek 1 make Pau one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 1.7 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.2%. Getting Pau right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £4.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.2% of FPL managers own Kenny Tete heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £4.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 1.7 expected points against Chelsea (H), rated Hard for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Calvin Bassey faces Chelsea (H) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Hard for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 1.7 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.5%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Calvin Bassey delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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