The Best FPL Differential Picks for Gameweek 1

Only 0.3% of FPL managers own Mats Wieffer heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.0m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.2 expected points against Aston Villa (H), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Pascal Struijk faces Aston Villa (H) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.2 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.5%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Pascal Struijk delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Crystal Palace (H) in Gameweek 1 make Jake O'Brien one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.2 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.5%. Getting Jake O'Brien right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.0m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.3% of FPL managers own Jaka Bijol heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.0m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.2 expected points against Nott'm Forest (A), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Sven Botman faces Liverpool (H) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Hard for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.2 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.4%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Sven Botman delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Aston Villa (H) in Gameweek 1 make Jack Hinshelwood one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.1 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.3%. Getting Jack Hinshelwood right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £6.0m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.2% of FPL managers own Brennan Johnson heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £6.0m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.1 expected points against Everton (A), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Tijjani Reijnders faces Bournemouth (H) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.1 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.4%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Tijjani Reijnders delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Hard fixture against Liverpool (H) in Gameweek 1 make Jacob Murphy one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.1 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.2%. Getting Jacob Murphy right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £6.0m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.3% of FPL managers own Joao Gomes heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.0 expected points against Brighton (A), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Keane Lewis-Potter faces Spurs (H) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.0 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.5%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Keane Lewis-Potter delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Medium fixture against Spurs (H) in Gameweek 1 make Mathias Jensen one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.1%. Getting Mathias Jensen right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.5% of FPL managers own Yasin Ayari heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.0 expected points against Aston Villa (H), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Yeremy faces Everton (A) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.0 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.2%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Yeremy delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Hard fixture against Chelsea (H) in Gameweek 1 make Emile Smith Rowe one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.4%. Getting Emile Smith Rowe right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.1% of FPL managers own Curtis Jones heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.0 expected points against Newcastle (A), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Nico Gonzalez faces Bournemouth (H) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.0 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.1%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Nico Gonzalez delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Easy fixture against Leeds (H) in Gameweek 1 make Omari Hutchinson one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 2.0 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.1%. Getting Omari Hutchinson right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.1% of FPL managers own Rodrigo Bentancur heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £5.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.0 expected points against Brentford (A), rated Medium for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Chemsdine Talbi faces Ipswich Town (A) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Easy for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 2.0 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.2%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Chemsdine Talbi delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Easy fixture against Leeds (H) in Gameweek 1 make Murillo one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 1.9 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.2%. Getting Murillo right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £5.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.6% of FPL managers own Leny Yoro heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 99% of the field, and at £5.0m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 2.2 expected points against Hull City (A), rated Easy for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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Pau faces Brighton (A) in Gameweek 1, a fixture rated Medium for difficulty, and the broader data supports a return. Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and projected expected points of 1.7 suggest this is more than a speculative pick. Ownership sits at just 0.2%, meaning the vast majority of rivals won't benefit if Pau delivers. That is exactly the asymmetry differential picking is built around.

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Form of 0.0 points per game over the last six gameweeks and a Hard fixture against Chelsea (H) in Gameweek 1 make Kenny Tete one of the cleaner differential cases this week. Expected points of 1.7 put them among the stronger low-ownership options available. The ownership figure tells the real story: just 0.2%. Getting Kenny Tete right when roughly 100% of managers don't own them is how rank climbs happen. At £4.5m, the cost of being wrong is manageable. The cost of missing a haul at this ownership is not.

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Only 0.5% of FPL managers own Calvin Bassey heading into Gameweek 1, which makes this one of the more compelling rank-swing opportunities available. A return here gains on roughly 100% of the field, and at £4.5m, the financial commitment is low. The model projects 1.7 expected points against Chelsea (H), rated Hard for difficulty, with recent form sitting at 0.0 per game over six gameweeks. The numbers are there to back the punt rather than just hope for it.

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